G’s Expectation or The Games of December 17th

Good morning and happy Saturday college football fans! I hope you had the opportunity to see the games yesterday. What a great start to the bowl season. In the Bahamas Bowl, Miami OH and UAB saw three lead changes in the 4th quarter with the Blazers stopping the RedHawks on the 2-yard line as time …

G’s Expectation or The Games of 12/16

Bowl season is here, oh great and wonderful college football fans, but before we get into the games, let’s take a moment for the deaths that have marred this season. Player deaths across the nation (Virginia, San Diego St, Mississippi St) and of course the unexpected death of the man who made the Air Raid …

G’s Expectation or the Games of December 10

It’s the last pre-bowl game day for this year! We made it through the first 3 months and are down to bowl games, FCS playoffs, and the Army/Navy game. Air Force has already won the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy and neither team is playing in a bowl, so it’s just pride and bragging rights today. But first, …

G’s Expectation or The Games of December 9

Happy Friday college football fans and welcome to the first day-by-day edition of the prediction model. Starting today, you’ll see one of these only for the games of the day rather than the remainder of the week. Today is all about the FCS playoffs with 3 games on the docket. Before we get to that, …

G’s Expectation or What to Watch Championship Week

Happy Friday of a limited, but all-important, set of games this week. Ok, not all of them are championship games, but all are important. Akron and Buffalo are underway right now in a makeup game with Buffalo needing the win to go 6-6 to get a bowl game. There are currently 80 spots filled out …

G’s Expectation or What Should We See During Rivalry Week?

Happy Tuesday oh great and wonderful college football fans. Welcome to the 250th edition of this blog. Yep, this is post number 250 so far since August 31, 2019. It’s been a lot of fun for me and, I hope, for you as well. Enough of that, there’s a lot of football this week so …

G’s Expectation or Who Will Win This Week?

Greetings, college football fans, and welcome to another night of MAC football! Bowling Green (5-5/116) is at Toledo (7-3/63) and off to a booming 14-0 start (2:50 in the first). Toledo has the Vegas nod at -14.5 and the GCR nod at 68.5%, but the GCR does have the Falcons to cover +14.5. Also, at …

G’s Expectation or Who Wins (and Who Covers) in Week 11

Happy Tuesday and welcome to what will undoubtedly be another wild week of college football. MACNation has already begun with 3 games on the docket tonight. E Michigan (5-4/117) is winning at Akron (1-8/111) 17-7 with 14:21 to go in the half (Vegas: EMI -5.5, GCR: EMI 60.6%, Cover: EMI). Miami OH (4-5/130) is hosting …

G’s Expectation or Who Wins Week 10?

Happy Tuesday and welcome to MACNation 2022! This is the time of year the MAC conference entertains us on Tuesdays and Wednesdays which not only gives us some level of football every day of the week, but also allows these athletes to shine without a lot of competition. Tonight, Ball St (4-4/102) and Kent St …

G’s Expectation or Who Will Win This Weekend?

Happy Thursday and the start of Week 9 in college football! Years ago, when I first started the original calculations, I didn’t have any predictions. Just the rankings (and that was just for the FBS). Later, I added the FCS to the rankings, but still hadn’t figured out a decent predictive formula. Finally, a few …