G’s Evaluation or Why Is the Top 265 Shuffling So Much?

Welcome back, college football fans, after a wonderful but exhausting weekend of the greatest sport in the world. Georgia (3-0/10) edged Tennessee (2-1/36) on an overturned call in overtime, Texas A&M (3-0/22) won over Notre Dame (0-2/65) on a 4th and goal bit of magic, Vanderbilt (3-0/27) stopped a 16-game losing streak to South Carolina (2-1/80), UCLA (0-3/129) got stopped by New Mexico (2-1/78), N Arizona (2-1/167) and S Utah (1-2/208) scored 73 points in the second half including a holding call in the endzone safety to end the game, Georgia Tech (3-0/25) kicked their way to beat Clemson (1-2/63), Delaware (2-1/104) got its first win over an FBS opponent as a FBS team by taking down UCONN (1-0/107) in overtime, West Virginia (2-1/64) won the Backyard Brawl over Pittsburgh (2-1/64) in overtime, and Stanford got in the win column beating Boston College. There were 117 other games as well.

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The ACC is now 4-10 (.286) against non-conference Core 4 opponents this season. The Big 12 is 6-6 (.500), the Big Ten is also even at 5-5 (.500), Notre Dame is 0-2 (.000), and the SEC is 10-2 (.833) on the season.

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I compared last week’s Top 265 to this week’s and there is a lot of change happening up and down the ranking. Why would this be? Part of it is teams won or lost their first game of the season this weekend which would stir the pot. Part of it is we had more conference games this week than before which would impact a team’s strength of schedule (SOS). Part of it is the denominator is becoming incrementally larger which, eventually, stabilizes the scores. After three weeks, a team’s opponent’s SOS starts to differentiate. Let’s look at two cases as a comparison. Vanderbilt (3-0/27) beat Charleston So (0-3/235) and Virginia Tech (0-3/133) in weeks 1 and 2, respectively. The GCR doesn’t look ahead and give teams credit for having a difficult team on the schedule later in the season, but it does always look behind. CHSO was 0-0 when Vandy played them and VT was 0-1, but they are a combined 0-6 now. Add the South Carolina (2-1/80) and the Commodores’ opponents are just 2-7 (.222) going 0-3 this weekend. The GCR has them playing the 235th easiest schedule so far this season, despite the fact that they’ve played and beaten two Core 4 teams. Indiana (3-0/7), who was blasted for having such a weak out of conference schedule, beat Old Dominion (2-1/52) who just gave Virginia Tech their third loss, second-year FBS school Kennesaw St (1-2/110) and FCS Indiana St (2-1/157). That means the Hoosiers’ opponents are 5-4 (.556) and were 2-1 this weekend. The GCR has their SOS at 106th, despite not playing any Core 4 teams, which is similar to Virginia’s (2-1/41) SOS at 105th. These numbers could change, certainly. Vanderbilt’s first 3 opponents could run the table and end up with a combined 29-7 (.806) record (editorial note: that is not going to happen), and adding their SEC slate coming up, could make their SOS the most difficult. Or they could all end up with losing records. The same applies for Indiana’s opponents. The point is that what the six teams they’ve already played do for the rest of the season will positively or negatively impact their SOS, which will impact their overall score which will impact their ranking.

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JoJo and I thank you for reading and sharing with others. Conference play is about to kick in full speed and the GCR predictions and what to watch is coming out early this week, so look for that on Wednesday this week. You can find us on our website at bit.ly/2019GCR or on Facebook at Gettys Computer Ranking or on LinkedIn at G Robert Gettys which I can use now that I’m officially retired from corporate life. Without further ado, here is this week’s Top 265 from NC St to Fordham, JoJo and G

RankTeamConfWinLossPFPAScore
1NC StACC3031.024.08.81
2Southern CalB103055.016.78.51
3OklahomaSEC3033.76.38.24
4OregonB103054.010.07.95
5AuburnSEC3037.014.07.91
6MississippiSEC3044.721.77.87
7IndianaB103052.07.77.82
8UtahB123045.78.37.79
9TCUB122045.017.57.64
10GeorgiaSEC3039.018.07.53
11MemphisAAC3037.011.07.52
12AlabamaSEC2142.715.07.43
13HoustonB123032.79.77.37
14Mississippi StSEC3040.312.37.31
15Penn StB103044.05.77.27
16LSUSEC3020.09.07.27
17MissouriSEC3051.715.77.24
18Ohio StB103040.35.37.18
19Iowa StB124029.814.37.16
20MarylandB103034.311.07.07
21MichiganB102136.714.76.98
22Texas A&MSEC3042.328.76.95
23CaliforniaACC3032.010.76.91
24IllinoisB103045.07.36.90
25Georgia TechACC3036.717.76.87
26ArizonaB123037.08.76.86
27VanderbiltSEC3040.010.06.86
28NebraskaB103049.08.06.78
29North TexasAAC3047.713.36.68
30LouisvilleACC2039.515.56.66
31Arizona StB122130.719.36.65
32NavyAAC3044.018.06.62
33Texas TechB123058.011.76.51
34Miami FLACC3040.313.06.46
35TulaneAAC3030.020.36.43
36TennesseeSEC2152.729.06.30
37KansasB122136.018.76.22
38Michigan StB103035.323.36.20
39WashingtonB102054.015.56.15
40Florida StACC2054.010.06.11
41VirginiaACC2144.719.36.07
42BYUB122048.01.56.04
43ArkansasSEC2147.720.76.01
44East CarolinaAAC2137.09.05.98
45CincinnatiB122140.313.35.98
46Southern MissSUN2131.025.35.98
47LA TechUSA2126.712.35.95
48UCFB122042.58.55.81
49MinnesotaB102134.312.35.81
50Washington StPAC2119.727.35.74
51TexasSEC2124.010.35.74
52Old DominionSUN2137.719.75.72
53RutgersB103046.319.35.70
54Utah StMWC2133.030.05.64
55PurdueB102127.316.75.62
56KentuckySEC2131.723.05.56
57ColoradoB121223.723.35.48
58South FloridaAAC2121.324.05.34
59WisconsinB102124.316.05.29
60IowaB102131.310.05.28
61BaylorB122138.030.05.28
62Texas StSUN2136.732.35.27
63ClemsonACC1219.319.05.22
64West VirginiaB122128.714.75.11
65Notre DameND0232.034.05.11
66OhioMAC1219.027.05.08
67PittsburghACC2143.319.05.07
68ToledoMAC2140.315.05.00
69Fresno StMWC3135.319.84.99
70StanfordACC1217.723.34.92
71SyracuseACC2139.729.74.88
72App StSUN2125.320.74.86
73North CarolinaACC2125.019.04.84
74Bowling GreenMAC2123.018.04.75
75UNLVMWC3035.325.04.62
76Wake ForestACC2125.317.74.58
77Ga SouthernSUN1225.045.04.52
78New MexicoMWC2128.022.04.46
79SMUACC2138.323.74.43
80South CarolinaSEC2123.017.34.38
81ArmyAAC1125.525.54.38
82TempleAAC2133.319.74.38
83James MadisonSUN1129.519.04.35
84DukeACC1230.332.04.34
85South AlabamaSUN1228.028.34.31
86UABAAC2135.736.04.28
87HawaiiMWC3122.320.84.26
88Kansas StB121324.326.54.26
89FIUUSA2126.723.74.22
90WyomingMWC2115.712.74.15
91New Mexico StUSA2118.022.04.01
92W KentuckyUSA2139.025.03.97
93RiceAAC2120.321.33.84
94N IllinoisMAC1114.018.53.84
95NorthwesternB101219.721.33.82
96Oklahoma StB121115.038.03.82
97FloridaSEC1227.012.73.79
98Air ForceMWC1139.531.03.76
99Arkansas StSUN1224.034.73.74
100BuffaloMAC2128.719.03.72
101LouisianaSUN1218.725.33.72
102Jacksonville StUSA1226.027.33.70
103Colorado StMWC1121.027.53.66
104DelawareUSA2128.729.73.65
105Boston CollegeACC1242.027.33.58
106Georgia StSUN1220.040.73.58
107UCONNIND1240.028.03.56
108North Dakota StMVFC3046.05.73.52
109W MichiganMAC0312.031.33.47
110Kennesaw StUSA1215.026.33.35
111UTSAAAC1236.035.03.34
112TroySUN1220.325.03.34
113ULMSUN1114.536.53.31
114FAUAAC1230.330.33.25
115Austin PeayUAC2132.016.33.23
116San Diego StMWC1127.518.03.16
117Ball StMAC1212.334.03.14
118Oregon StPAC0318.738.33.13
119Missouri StUSA1214.740.33.07
120MarshallSUN1221.724.33.02
121TarletonUAC4046.810.02.98
122Kent StMAC1221.036.72.97
123Boise StMWC1129.024.02.89
124TulsaAAC1224.023.32.86
125NevadaMWC1214.725.72.78
126Miami OHMAC028.531.02.68
127LibertyUSA1221.721.32.59
128UTEPUSA1222.724.02.58
129UCLAB100314.336.02.57
130Coastal CarSUN126.728.72.56
131C MichiganMAC1212.040.72.45
132Middle TennesseeUSA1212.729.72.28
133Virginia TechACC0319.037.72.23
134CharlotteAAC1218.729.72.14
135South Dakota StMVFC3029.016.01.95
136Illinois StMVFC2128.726.01.90
137Sam HoustonUSA0321.738.71.89
138West GeorgiaUAC3034.314.71.89
139IdahoBig Sky2122.316.31.88
140AkronMAC039.336.31.87
141LafayettePatriot2130.329.71.81
142Tennessee TechBSO/OVC3060.710.31.71
143LehighPatriot3028.015.01.68
144ChattanoogaSoCon1230.030.01.57
145Cal PolyBig Sky2135.329.01.50
146San Jose StMWC0210.527.01.49
147SoutheasternSouthland2133.717.01.40
148Youngstown StMVFC2134.724.31.34
149Alabama StSWAC2136.322.71.34
150Rhode IslandCoastal3023.714.71.26
151PresbyterianPioneer3032.020.71.19
152LamarSouthland2117.023.71.18
153Sacramento StBig Sky1223.022.71.05
154Montana StBig Sky1226.032.01.04
155New HampshireCoastal2125.020.01.03
156E MichiganMAC0324.342.71.02
157Indiana StMVFC2126.337.01.00
158Rio GrandeSouthland3057.77.00.98
159MontanaBig Sky2033.020.00.97
160TowsonCoastal2123.724.30.94
161S IllinoisMVFC2134.315.70.91
162Idaho StBig Sky0325.738.70.90
163St ThomasPioneer2128.319.00.88
164GeorgetownPatriot2139.725.30.86
165BucknellPatriot2127.333.30.86
166Jackson StSWAC2126.017.30.85
167N ArizonaBig Sky2136.339.30.85
168E Tennessee StSoCon1231.041.30.80
169Holy CrossPatriot0313.315.70.78
170Gardner WebbBSO/OVC2129.039.00.67
171Sacred HeartFCSIND2115.318.70.62
172N IowaMVFC2120.719.70.62
173North DakotaMVFC1236.027.30.58
174UMASSMAC0314.338.70.55
175DrakePioneer1131.022.00.52
176UC DavisBig Sky1120.547.00.46
177MaristPioneer2125.019.30.46
178Grambling StSWAC2130.736.00.45
179VMISoCon1225.731.30.39
180MercyhurstNortheast1230.329.00.35
181South DakotaMVFC1214.730.70.34
182BryantCoastal2124.017.00.33
183VillanovaCoastal1115.034.50.31
184FurmanSoCon2129.728.00.29
185LindenwoodBSO/OVC1220.327.70.26
186MonmouthCoastal2142.036.30.26
187RichmondPatriot1211.324.00.22
188C ArkansasUAC1219.044.70.20
189Delaware StMEAC2130.027.00.19
190Abilene ChrUAC1218.732.30.18
191Alabama A&MSWAC2123.734.70.17
192SEMOBSO/OVC1222.734.70.12
193Steph F AustinSouthland1227.718.30.12
194MercerSoCon1116.018.00.09
195W IllinoisBSO/OVC1220.341.30.06
196ButlerPioneer2122.324.00.06
197South Carolina StMEAC2127.031.30.04
198HowardMEAC2118.324.70.00
199BrownIVY000.00.00.00
199ColumbiaIVY000.00.00.00
199CornellIVY000.00.00.00
199DartmouthIVY000.00.00.00
199HarvardIvy000.00.00.00
199PennIVY000.00.00.00
199PrincetonIVY000.00.00.00
199YaleIVY000.00.00.00
207N ColoradoBig Sky1217.016.0-0.02
208S UtahUAC1240.735.3-0.02
209CampbellCoastal0315.738.3-0.04
210C ConnecticutNortheast2126.024.3-0.06
211NC CentralMEAC2224.028.5-0.09
212William & MaryCoastal1221.735.0-0.12
213Long IslandNortheast1216.334.0-0.16
214CitadelSoCon1217.724.7-0.17
215ElonCoastal2136.327.7-0.17
216DaytonPioneer1126.012.0-0.20
217North Carolina A&TCoastal1220.340.7-0.28
218E KentuckyUAC1214.733.0-0.29
219MerrimackFCSIND1220.318.0-0.30
220Morehead StPioneer1219.342.7-0.34
221DuquesneNortheast1228.336.7-0.39
222Houston ChrSouthland1228.726.3-0.40
223NichollsSouthland1216.726.0-0.41
224East TexasSouthland028.059.5-0.46
225New HavenNortheast1217.332.0-0.47
226HamptonCoastal1223.727.0-0.48
227Weber StBig Sky1218.344.7-0.48
228StetsonPioneer1226.735.7-0.49
229N AlabamaUAC1225.335.3-0.50
230Ark Pine BluffSWAC1219.338.7-0.51
231E IllinoisBSO/OVC1222.731.3-0.51
232ValparaisoPioneer1234.723.7-0.53
233StonehillNortheast1215.321.3-0.53
234WoffordSoCon0315.317.3-0.54
235Charleston SoBSO/OVC0310.331.0-0.56
236BethuneSWAC0317.747.3-0.63
237Tennessee StBSO/OVC1216.034.3-0.64
238Stony BrookCoastal1219.330.3-0.67
239Florida A&MSWAC1218.730.3-0.67
240WagnerNortheast0312.332.7-0.67
241Norfolk StMEAC1217.039.3-0.67
242Robert MorrisNortheast1216.038.3-0.70
243Prairie ViewSWAC1220.028.7-0.72
244Portland StBig Sky045.846.0-0.74
245AlbanyCoastal0318.731.7-0.80
246Northwestern StSouthland126.748.7-0.82
247Morgan StMEAC0314.341.7-0.85
248ColgatePatriot0326.744.0-0.90
249McNeeseSouthland1235.028.3-0.90
250Texas SouthernSWAC0310.329.3-0.91
251E WashingtonBig Sky0316.333.0-0.92
252Mississippi ValleySWAC0311.749.7-0.93
253Alcorn StSWAC0313.741.3-0.96
254Incarnate WordSouthland1219.029.7-0.98
255MaineCoastal0314.723.0-1.00
256Utah TechUAC0320.329.7-1.03
257SouthernSWAC1315.536.5-1.10
258W CarolinaSoCon0328.743.7-1.20
259San DiegoPioneer1218.036.3-1.35
260St FrancisNortheast034.335.0-1.39
261DavidsonPioneer0311.759.3-1.61
262Murray StMVFC0320.742.3-1.84
263Tennessee MartinBSO/OVC0311.335.3-1.92
264SamfordSoCon037.738.7-2.16
265FordhamPatriot0318.752.0-2.29