G’s Expectation or The Conference Tourney Games of March 8, 2026!

Welcome back, college sports fans. First, a happy heavenly birthday to G’s father, JoJo’s grandfather, who would have been 91 today. Second, each year the Ohio Valley Conference designs its conference tourneys to finish at least one day before any other conference, so that they can claim the first official NCAA teams. They did that last night with W Illinois (women’s) and TN St (men’s). As of this writing, the fields of 68 only need 67 more teams each to fill the slate. Congratulations to both teams!

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We have quite a few finals today: 9 on the women’s side and 4 on the men’s side. Check out the schedules below to catch as many as you can.

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Here is the women’s conference tourney schedule for today. Today ends the regular season for all teams, but those games (American, Coastal, C-USA, Ivy, MAC, Missouri Valley, and WAC) are not in this table. The Prediction column is based on two assumptions: 1) a neutral site and 2) both the Score and RPIF metrics agree (if they do, the predicted winner is listed, but if one metric favors one team while the other metric favors the opposing team, “NO PRED” is listed). Yesterday, the Prediction was correct 25 out of 31 games for a .806 success rate. The records and rankings are through yesterday’s games.

CONFRoundGame (All Times Eastern)TipoffPrediction
A10FINALGeorge Mason (23-8/59) / Rhode Island (27-4/25)4:00NO PRED
ASUNFINALAustin Peay (19-12/133) / Jacksonville (23-8/66)5:00Jacksonville
ACCFINALLouisville (27-6/12) / Duke (23-8/13)1:00NO PRED
Big 12FINALWest Virginia (26-6/11) / TCU (29-4/7)5:00TCU
Big EastSFCreighton (16-14/158) / UCONN (32-0/4)2:30UCONN
Big EastSFSeton Hall (19-11/102) / Villanova (24-6/20)5:00Villanova
Big SkyR2Weber St (11-21/256) / Idaho (26-5/56)2:00Idaho
Big SkyR2Montana (9-21/296) / Montana St (23-6/23)4:30Montana St
Big SouthFINALRadford (22-11/135) / High Point (26-5/58)6:00High Point
Big TenFINALIowa (26-5/5) / UCLA (30-1/1)2:15UCLA
HorizonR2IU Indy (14-16/209) / Fort Wayne (19-12/146)1:00Fort Wayne
MAACSFIona (20-11/180) / Quinnipiac (25-5/98)12:00Quinnipiac
MAACSFMerrimack (19-11/154) / Fairfield (26-4/40)2:30Fairfield
Mtn WestQFAir Force (14-17/222) / San Diego St (25-4/26)3:00San Diego St
Mtn WestQFBoise St (24-8/87) / New Mexico (22-9/139)5:30Boise St
Mtn WestQFFresno St (15-17/232) / UNLV (20-10/101)8:00UNLV
Mtn WestQFGrand Canyon (13-18/225) / Colorado St (24-7/60)10:30Colorado St
SECFINALTexas (30-3/2) / South Carolina (31-2/3)3:00Texas
SoConFINALSamford (15-18/207) / Chattanooga (20-9/128)12:00Chattanooga
SummitFINALSouth Dakota St (26-6/21) / North Dakota St (28-3/24)4:00South Dak St
Sun BeltSFJames Madison (24-8/45) / Ga Southern (23-6/22)12:30NO PRED
Sun BeltSFArkansas St (24-8/64) / Troy (24-6/29)3:00Troy
West CoastQFPortland (18-13/149) / Oregon St (21-10/69)2:30Oregon St
West CoastQFSan Francisco (18-13/136) / Santa Clara (23-8/53)5:00Santa Clara

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Like the women, the men’s regular season ends today. The American and Big Ten Conferences are the only ones playing non-tourney games today, but they are not listed in this table. The Prediction column is based on two assumptions: 1) a neutral site and 2) both the Score and RPIF metrics agree (if they do, the predicted winner is listed, but if one metric favors one team while the other metric favors the opposing team, “NO PRED” is listed). Yesterday, the predictions were 21-7 for a .750 success rate. The records and rankings are through yesterday’s games.

CONFRoundGame (All Times Eastern)TipoffPrediction
ASUNFINALQueens (20-13/131) / C Arkansas (22-11/109)2:00C Arkansas
Big SkyR2Idaho St (13-19/276) / Portland St (19-10/130)7:30Portland St
Big SkyR2Idaho (18-14/198) / Montana St (18-13/174)10:00Montana St
Big SouthFINALWinthrop (23-10/73) / High Point (29-4/57)12:00NO PRED
CoastalQFCampbell (15-17/205) / Wilmington (26-5/35)12:00Wilmington
CoastalQFDrexel (17-15/188) / Monmouth (17-14/173)2:30Monmouth
CoastalQFTowson (18-14/125) / Charleston (21-10/68)6:00Charleston
CoastalQFWilliam & Mary (20-11/111) / Hofstra (21-10/79)8:30Hofstra
HorizonR2N Kentucky (19-13/167) / Green Bay (18-14/149)3:30Green Bay
MAACSFMarist (19-11/120) / Merrimack (22-10/72)6:00Merrimack
MAACSFFairfield (21-12/108) / Siena (21-11/107)8:30NO PRED
MVCFINALN Iowa (22-12/71) / IL Chicago (19-14/126)12:00N Iowa
PatriotSFColgate (18-14/183) / Lehigh (16-16/226)12:00Colgate
PatriotSFBoston Univ (16-16/239) / Navy (26-6/85)2:00Navy
SoConSFW Carolina (15-15/193) / E Tenn St (22-10/89)4:00E Tenn St
SoConSFGreensboro (15-18/246) / Furman (20-12/122)6:30Furman
SouthlandR1Houston Chr (12-19/290) / New Orleans (14-17/227)6:00New Orleans
SouthlandR1Nwestern St (10-21/321) / Nicholls (13-18/261)8:30Nicholls
SummitFINALNorth Dakota (18-16/202) / North Dakota St (26-7/74)9:00North Dak St
Sun BeltSFSouthern Miss (19-15/166) / Troy (20-11/94)6:00Troy
Sun BeltSFGa Southern (19-16/200) / Marshall (19-12/78)8:30Marshall
West CoastQFSan Francisco (17-15/133) / Oregon St (16-15/135)8:30NO PRED
West CoastQFPacific (18-14/168) / Santa Clara (24-7/26)11:00Santa Clara

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That’s it for today. Thank you for reading and sharing. Tune in tomorrow for a G’s Expectation for the tourney games similar to this one. A week from today, March 15, will be selection Sunday for both men and women. The next day, we will have the final pre-tournament (NCAA, NIT, etc.) Women’s Top 363 and Men’s Top 365. During the tournaments, we will continue daily episodes like today’s detailing all the action. See you tomorrow, JoJo and G.

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