G’s Expectation or The Final Weekend of Conference Tourneys!

Welcome back, college sports fans, to episode 612 of the GCR. First, a correction. Yesterday, we posted that the Finals for the women’s Northeast Conference and Patriot League tourneys were scheduled for Friday. They are actually part of the quadruple header on Sunday. Second, a bit of news. The College Basketball Invitational, which has always been a little controversial, announced there would be no tournament this season. The controversy arose from a pay-to-play approach for the teams selected. After the first couple of years, the power conferences declined to join leaving lower-level teams, and often those with losing records, to play the games. The CBI is looking forward to next season, but that ship may have sailed. Third, a congratulations for winning their tourney and punching the NCAA ticket, to the Vermont women’s squad who won the American East (AME or AMEAST). And as the last order of business, there are 33 overall games today (12 women’s, 21 men’s) including 19 championship games (8 women’s, 11 men’s). The last set of finals will be played tomorrow prior to Selection Sunday.

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Yesterday, for the women, the GCR was a sad 12-9 (.571) picking the winner which brings our total to 101-38 (.727). As a reminder, the GCR predicts the winner if both of the Score and RPIF metrics agree. If one metric picks Team A and the other Team B, we post “NO PRED”. Here are the women’s games today.

CONFRoundGame (All Times Eastern)TipoffPrediction
AmericanFINALUTSA (17-15/192) / Rice (28-4/47)9:30Rice
Big WestFINALHawaii (22-10/69) / UC San Diego (23-8/85)6:00UC San Diego
C-USAFINALMissouri St (21-12/125) / LA Tech (26-5/18)5:30LA Tech
CoastalSFStony Brook (18-14/161) / Charleston (25-5/31)2:00Charleston
CoastalSFHofstra (10-21/279) / Drexel (21-9/102)4:30Drexel
IvyFINALHarvard (18-10/84) / Princeton (25-3/11)5:30Princeton
MACFINALToledo (17-14/165) / Miami OH (27-6/45)11:00amMiami OH
MEACFINALNorfolk St (18-13/173) / Howard (25-7/112)4:00Howard
Missouri ValleySFN Iowa (18-13/152) / Murray St (29-3/38)2:30Murray St
Missouri ValleySFEvansville (9-24/317) / Illinois St (20-12/167)5:00Illinois St
SWACFINALSouthern (18-13/174) / Alabama St (17-14/183)1:00Southern
WACFINALAbilene Chr (23-9/73) / CA Baptist (22-10/103)3:30NO PRED

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The GCR finally had a good day predicting the men’s games going 24-6 (.800) yesterday bringing up the total to 125-58 (.683). We want to highlight the Cinderella of the tourneys. Mississippi is 15-19/195 following the impressive and unexpected 3-0 start in SEC play. During the regular season, they were just 4-14 against conference foes. They could match that win total today in the semifinal against Arkansas (24-8/12). As a reminder, “NO PRED” just means the GCR metrics Score and RPIF did not agree on who should win the game. Here is today’s men’s slate.

CONFRoundGame (All Times Eastern)TipoffPrediction
A10SFDayton (22-10/58) / St Louis (28-4/27)1:00St Louis
A10SFSt Josephs (22-10/109) / VCU (25-7/31)3:30VCU
ACCFINALVirginia (29-4/7) / Duke (31-2/3)8:30Duke
AmEastFINALVermont (22-11/144) / Balt County (23-8/131)11:00amNO PRED
AmericanSFCharlotte (17-16/209) / South Florida (23-8/44)3:00South Florida
AmericanSFTulsa (26-6/53) / Wichita St (21-10/86)5:30Tulsa
Big TenSFWisconsin (24-9/29) / Michigan (30-2/1)1:00Michigan
Big TenSFPurdue (25-8/18) / UCLA (23-10/38)3:30Purdue
Big 12FINALHouston (28-5/8) / Arizona (31-2/2)6:00Arizona
Big EastFINALUCONN (29-4/4) / St Johns (27-6/11)6:30UCONN
Big WestFINALHawaii (23-8/79) / UC Irvine (23-10/61)10:00UC Irvine
C-USAFINALKennesaw St (20-13/128) / LA Tech (20-13/149)8:30Kennesaw St
IvySFCornell (15-12/162) / Yale (23-5/24)11:00amYale
IvySFPenn (16-11/110) / Harvard (17-11/134)2:00Penn
MACFINALToledo (19-14/99) / Akron (28-5/30)8:00Akron
MEACFINALNC Central (14-17/289) / Howard (22-10/179)1:00Howard
Mtn WestFINALSan Diego St (22-10/40) / Utah St (27-6/19)6:00Utah St
SECSFVanderbilt (25-7/15) / Florida (26-6/6)1:00Florida
SECSFMississippi (15-19/195) / Arkansas (24-8/12)3:30Arkansas
SWACFINALPrairie View (17-17/270) / Southern (17-16/235)7:30Southern
WACFINALCA Baptist (24-8/51) / Utah Valley (24-8/54)11:59CA Baptist

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That’s it for today. Tune in tomorrow for the final day of the tourneys. Thank you for reading and sharing with others, JoJo and G.

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