G’s Expectation or The Games of Friday

Welcome back, college football fans. The GCR took one on the chin yesterday although I did get to watch some football with a very good friend, JW. Let’s review.

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In the Fenway Bowl, Vegas and GCR favorite SMU (11-3/33) took a 14-10 lead into the 4th before giving up 13 unanswered to Boston College (7-6/59) and losing 23-14.

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Vegas favorite Rutgers (7-6/33) took out GCR favorite Miami FL (7-6/36) 31-24 in the Pinstripe Bowl. The Scarlet Knights were up 14 late in the 4th so the game wasn’t as close as the final score.

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In the GCR’s lone correct pick, Kansas St (9-4/14) won the Pop-Tarts bowl (complete with the edible mascot – don’t get me started) over NC St (9-4/30) by a score of 28-19. A 21-10 halftime lead was all the Wildcats needed.

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Speaking of Wildcats, Arizona (10-3/17) finished off Oklahoma (10-3) 38-24 in the Alamo Bowl. Down 14-13 at the half and 24-13 with less that 3 minutes in the third, they rattled off 25 straight points to get the blowout win.

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Maybe today will be better. At noon (all times Eastern), the Clemson Tigers (8-4/24) takes on the Kentucky Wildcats (7-5/41) in the Gator Bowl played in Jacksonville. As a reminder, OER stands for Offensive Efficiency Rating and DER stands for Defensive Efficiency Rating. Here’s the tale of the tape.

TeamOER/PPGDER/PPGOpp’s Record – RankVs Bowl TeamsBest WinWorst Loss
CLEM123 (47th)/29.2141 (38th)/19.984-66 (.560) – 31st4-4 (.500)Notre Dame (9-3/18)Miami FL (7-6/36)
KENT113 (78th)/28.6112 (81st)/24.880-67 (.544) – 34th1-4 (.250)Louisville (10-4/20)South Carolina (5-7/47)

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Vegas likes CLEM-4.0 and that sounds about right. GCR picks the Tigers to win and cover.

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Next up is the Sun Bowl, played in El Paso, between the Oregon St Beavers (8-4/23) and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (9-3/18), with a 2:00 kickoff. This is the 3rd bowl game between GCR top 25 teams.

TeamOER/PPGDER/PPGOpp’s Record – RankVs Bowl TeamsBest WinWorst Loss
ORST131 (30th)/33.8138 (32nd)/21.586-64 (.573)/27th4-3 (.571)Utah (8-5/40)Washington St (5-7/66)
ND158 (7th)/39.1157 (15th)/16.680-68 (.541)/56th3-3 (.500)Duke (8-5/26)Clemson (8-4/24)

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Vegas has ND-6.0 and the GCR agrees. The Irish to win and cover.

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The 3:30 game today played in Memphis is the Liberty Bowl in what is a home game for the Memphis Tigers (9-3/71) when they kickoff against the Iowa St Cyclones (7-5/27).

TeamOER/PPGDER/PPGOpp’s Record – RankVs Bowl TeamsBest WinWorst Loss
MEM142 (18th)/39.795 (152nd)/29.076-75 (.503) – 121st3-3 (.500)Boise St (8-6/75)Tulane (11-3/30)
IAST107 (100th)/26.3134 (42nd)/21.792-59 (.609) – 3rd2-5 (.286)Kansas St (9-4/14)Ohio (10-3/48)

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Vegas likes IAST-10.5 and that sounds a bit high on the road with a mediocre offense (granted against a horrible defense). The GCR picks IAST to win, but MEM to cover +10.5.

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In our nightcap, the Cotton Bowl in Arlington Texas pits the Missouri Tigers (10-2/15) and the Ohio St Buckeyes (11-1/4) at 8:00. Not only is this the 4th bowl game with 2 GCR top 25 teams, it’s the 3rd game today with one of the teams having the Tigers as a mascot. If only LSU and Auburn played today…

TeamOER/PPGDER/PPGOpp’s Record – RankVs Bowl TeamsBest WinWorst Loss
MIZZ134 (28th)/34.1139 (30th)/22.384-63 (.571) – 66th4-2 (.667)Kansas St (9-4/14)LSU (9-3/13)
OHST146 (13th)/32.8253 (3rd)/11.086-63 (.577) – 24th7-1 (.875)Penn St (10-2/8)Michigan (13-0/1)

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Vegas likes OHST-4.5 and the GCR agrees. Buckeyes win and cover.

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That’s it for today. Tune in tomorrow for 4 more exciting games. Thank you for reading and sharing with others, G.