Women’s Basketball or The Top 363 for Week 12!

Welcome back, college sports fans, as we focus on the women’s game today. Last week, we talked about the new metric, RPI Factor (RPIF), which is a new predictive metric here at the old GCR. We described it in detail on Friday using the men’s data, but the same rules apply here. We now have two predictors for basketball. First, we have the Score metric (found in the table below) which can be used by adding 4.5 to the home team – higher total should win and the difference in those two numbers is a theoretical point spread. We’ve mentioned that every week, at least since December. Now we have the RPIF which can be used the same way – apply the 4.5, etc. Let’s use it in a real example.

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The best game today, since Tennessee and Mississippi were postponed due to icy weather, is Florida (13-8/84) at LSU (18-2/22). For comparison, Vegas has this game going to LSU-27.5. If we look at the Score for each team, we give Florida 58.68 and LSU 74.93. Add 4.5 to LSU and we have 79.43-58.68 or 20.75 LSU. Looking at the RPIF for each, we give FLA 147.2 (63rd best) and LSU 159.5 (27th). Add 4.5 to LSU and we have 164.0-147.2 or 16.8 LSU. The GCR has never been about sports betting although we do predict games and spreads for fun. We would say that we expect LSU to win by between 16.8 and 20.75 points – LSU to win, FLA to cover. If the Vegas line had been LSU-18.5, we would have said we had no prediction on the game. If the Score and the RPIF disagreed on the winner (example following), we would have said we had no prediction on the game.

…..

Let’s say LSU was hosting Duke (14-6/23). LSU would have the same 79.43 adjusted Score and Duke would bring 74.84 so LSU by 4.59. But LSU would also retain the 164.0 RPIF compared to Duke’s 166.1 (16th) indicating Duke would win by 2.1. If, in this example, Vegas gave a line of LSU-5.0 or more, we would predict no winner, but Duke would cover (the opposite if the line was DUKE-2.5 or more). If the line was between those extremes (ex., LSU-2.5), we would predict no winner and no cover.

…..

Again, we are not, nor have we ever been, nor do we ever intend to be a betting source. We predict purely for entertainment purposes and have never bet on a sporting event of any kind (other than fantasy football). By the way, if you ever join a college fantasy football league, let us know – we have tips. But betting on games based on our data is assumed at your own risk. JoJo was a well-behaved, rule-following (for the most part) teenager, yet still did (and still does) a bunch of stuff that left (leave) her parents scratching their heads. To expect an entire team of them to behave as expected is just silly, in our opinion.

…..

Tuesday the best game is West Virginia at Utah – should be a close one. Wednesday, we will be paying close attention to San Diego St at Colorado St – both contenders for the Mountain West title. The Sun Belt has a couple of standings-impacting games with Troy at Marshall and Southern Miss at Ga Southern. Thursday watch for Quinnipiac at Fairfield (of the MAAC not to be confused with the MAC) – both teams are undefeated in conference. Also watch Vanderbilt at Mississippi, a combined 37-5 with Vandy just picking up their first loss – can they rebound? A game that would have been bigger without injuries is Iowa at Southern Cal – can the Trojans get that big win they need? Sunday is the bomb, though. Tennessee at UCONN, Alabama at LSU, Michigan at Michigan St, Baylor at West Virginia, TCU at Texas Tech, Oklahoma at Texas, and Iowa at UCLA. It may be separation weekend.

…..

That’s it for today. We will be back Wednesday for the Men’s Top 365, then on Friday for some analysis. Thank you for reading and sharing with others. It helps us grow. We especially appreciate comments, questions, and challenges. It helps us improve, JoJo and G

RANKTeamRecordSOSScoreRPIRankRPIF
1UCONN21-018100.000.6961182.6
2UCLA19-11097.200.6912181.3
3Iowa18-2694.180.6803178.4
4Vanderbilt20-14490.760.6577172.4
5Texas19-22290.400.6634174.0
6South Carolina20-23888.220.6605173.2
7Baylor18-31986.320.6509170.6
8TCU19-24786.040.64410169.0
9Tennessee14-3884.640.6578172.4
10Alabama18-33283.800.6596172.9
11Louisville19-34882.290.63911167.7
12Princeton17-17381.990.63814167.4
13Michigan17-35080.780.63812167.4
14West Virginia17-42580.350.63813167.4
15Mississippi17-42680.340.62717164.5
16Texas Tech20-214779.880.62719164.5
17Michigan St18-214179.320.62718164.5
18Ohio St18-312476.720.62220163.2
19Kentucky17-53076.250.62121162.9
20Arizona St17-46175.860.61622161.6
21NC St14-6475.100.63515166.6
22LSU18-221974.930.60827159.5
23Duke14-6574.840.63316166.1
24Rhode Island18-215074.530.58344153.0
25Maryland17-48574.510.61126160.3
26Syracuse16-47474.090.60828159.5
27Oklahoma16-48273.790.61125160.3
28Villanova15-53373.760.61523161.4
29Nebraska15-53773.330.61424161.1
30Georgia18-321372.020.59735156.6
31Washington15-49971.680.60430158.5
32North Carolina17-58671.310.60331158.2
33Utah14-62171.150.59339155.6
34Richmond16-47170.550.59340155.6
35Stanford15-64369.170.60233158.0
36North Dakota St18-227768.430.53089139.1
37Mississippi St15-65568.300.59537156.1
38BYU15-512367.550.58941154.5
39Troy16-413867.530.55766146.2
40Oregon15-73667.310.60232158.0
41Colorado13-71466.950.59734156.6
42Minnesota14-65766.750.59636156.4
43Murray St17-323566.700.55175144.6
44Illinois15-514366.680.58743154.0
45Oklahoma St16-516166.660.56262147.5
46Montana St14-55966.020.53086139.1
47Seton Hall14-66465.890.59338155.6
48Rice17-326765.370.57052149.6
49Iowa St16-520664.660.57547150.9
50Virginia Tech16-521064.490.57151149.8
51High Point18-233664.350.509115133.6
52South Dakota St16-514664.240.57349150.4
53Arkansas St18-425363.820.54481142.7
54Kansas13-81763.680.57250150.1
55Ga Southern15-514463.340.54679143.3
56Vermont17-518363.150.515103135.1
57Charleston16-328863.140.506120132.8
58Oregon St15-68163.110.53185139.3
59San Diego St15-327863.080.53883141.2
60Santa Clara17-520562.440.520100136.4
61Auburn13-82762.410.58842154.3
62Southern Cal11-9162.070.60729159.3
63Columbia13-511661.940.56757148.8
64Marquette13-75861.920.55274144.8
65LA Tech13-511761.860.513111134.6
66Virginia14-615561.790.56758148.8
67S Indiana14-515661.450.488152128.0
68W Illinois16-331261.450.478168125.4
69Davidson15-76561.180.56756148.8
70Gonzaga14-74961.180.56953149.3
71Clemson14-710761.040.56460148.0
72Notre Dame13-77960.780.57746151.4
73Missouri14-93560.660.57945151.9
74Abilene Chr14-518160.290.485156127.3
75E Kentucky17-430360.260.497138130.4
76Marshall17-525960.240.514108134.9
77Green Bay17-526060.220.52893138.5
78St Johns16-625560.080.55372145.1
79Colorado St17-431059.690.52695138.0
80UC Davis14-613959.520.501129131.5
81McNeese16-430759.250.499133130.9
82Boise St16-526859.050.52596137.8
83Lindenwood15-617858.770.504125132.2
84Florida13-86858.680.56163147.2
85Wisconsin13-86958.570.56954149.3
86George Mason13-613158.540.55667145.9
87Ball St15-526358.290.520101136.4
88Miami FL12-85158.240.56855149.0
89James Madison14-85658.230.56361147.7
90St Josephs13-614857.770.507116133.0
91Army15-432657.150.505122132.5
92Binghamton14-620156.920.498134130.7
93Miami OH16-433956.790.495141129.9
94Monmouth12-521556.580.460204120.7
95Sam Houston11-69656.560.472174123.8
96UMASS14-432556.390.53088139.1
97UC Irvine17-335356.310.52498137.5
98Austin Peay13-525856.230.486155127.5
99Purdue11-92955.770.56559148.3
100Longwood14-623255.680.464186121.7
101N Colorado15-626555.640.470179123.3
102Fairfield17-335655.430.52991138.8
103San Francisco13-714555.360.52099136.4
104Georgetown12-810655.310.54677143.3
105Penn12-617255.050.491148128.8
106Kansas St11-101654.800.57348150.4
107Belmont11-84054.610.55668145.9
108Old Dominion12-93154.470.53087139.1
109Santa Barbara15-335554.260.496139130.1
110Chattanooga13-529954.130.473172124.1
111Furman13-811453.980.451220118.3
112California12-99153.520.55470145.4
113South Florida12-94253.500.55471145.4
114Fair Dickins17-435453.380.468183122.8
115Indiana11-103452.810.55865146.4
116UNLV14-629852.810.52990138.8
117Idaho15-534452.590.471176123.6
118Jacksonville12-717752.330.479166125.7
119Youngstown St14-726252.280.473173124.1
120East Carolina15-633551.870.515105135.1
121Steph F Austin14-631151.860.468182122.8
122Navy12-627151.840.493144129.4
123Arkansas11-104651.660.54678143.3
124Harvard10-85451.310.54776143.5
125Brown11-624351.210.495142129.9
126South Dakota15-633851.190.443236116.2
127Texas A&M8-82851.180.56164147.2
128Quinnipiac16-435951.130.507117133.0
129North Texas11-95351.030.492146129.1
130S Utah13-727450.640.446231117.0
131Arizona10-96350.630.53684140.6
132Howard15-731950.420.510113133.8
133Rutgers9-101350.320.55469145.4
134Idaho St12-724450.150.487154127.8
135C Michigan12-630549.930.490150128.6
136Fort Wayne13-822849.800.493145129.4
137UC San Diego13-633449.720.481162126.2
138NJ Tech13-728949.610.498135130.7
139Campbell12-819349.480.464189121.7
140Ohio12-631849.190.481161126.2
141Missouri St12-727649.150.514109134.9
142Morehead St12-914948.910.495140129.9
143C Arkansas11-816348.840.470180123.3
144Drexel11-724148.720.483158126.7
145CA Baptist13-826448.690.503126132.0
146Lamar12-633148.620.475171124.6
147UT Martin10-812048.580.444234116.5
148FIU11-725248.400.481163126.2
149West Georgia13-634248.350.452216118.6
150Stetson11-818548.110.463193121.5
151Oral Roberts11-912648.090.453215118.9
152Holy Cross11-820447.650.510112133.8
153Robert Morris14-634947.630.447230117.3
154Bowling Green10-97647.620.429262112.6
155New Mexico13-733047.600.505124132.5
156Wake Forest12-926647.540.509114133.6
157Tulsa13-634547.510.502128131.7
158Cleveland St15-734647.480.451222118.3
159UCF10-109247.320.52794138.3
160Bryant14-635247.220.448228117.6
161Incarnate Word10-816446.960.460202120.7
162Mid Tenn11-916046.810.514106134.9
163Southern10-817046.650.470181123.3
164Hawaii10-910446.650.464188121.7
165Pepperdine12-921646.640.464190121.7
166N Iowa10-910546.600.516102135.4
167Fla Gulf Coast9-102446.590.488151128.0
168Radford13-927046.560.455211119.4
169Lehigh10-817546.510.506118132.8
170Albany11-916946.280.494143129.6
171LMU12-828646.150.477169125.2
172Jax St11-825046.140.430260112.8
173Wofford11-917646.120.438241114.9
174Bradley13-734346.080.470177123.3
175Rio Grande11-917946.060.460203120.7
176Greensboro12-923745.990.416282109.2
177Kennesaw St10-819845.960.433251113.6
178MD Eastern11-1013445.750.471175123.6
179Georgia Tech9-122045.390.54382142.5
180Tarleton10-821745.360.454213119.1
181Southern Miss11-921245.180.458205120.2
182La Salle11-921844.970.482159126.5
183Nwestern St9-99744.750.463196121.5
184Towson11-829444.380.468184122.8
185Providence10-1113044.220.514110134.9
186Liberty9-911844.180.464187121.7
187Xavier10-1018844.160.505121132.5
188St Marys13-932943.690.452217118.6
189Northwestern8-121243.620.54580143.0
190Portland11-1020243.540.461199121.0
191Balt County10-921143.410.447229117.3
192Kent St9-108443.080.463195121.5
193Mercer12-834142.940.430256112.8
194St Bonaventure12-931342.890.461200121.0
195UTSA9-916542.680.485157127.3
196Alabama A&M10-923842.610.420277110.2
197Maine10-1111142.470.499131130.9
198Dartmouth9-916842.420.422272110.7
199St Louis11-1117142.390.478167125.4
200Temple9-1010842.340.514107134.9
201Merrimack10-925442.220.458206120.2
202Fullerton11-930042.170.434248113.9
203E Michigan9-918442.100.465185122.0
204Cincinnati8-13941.910.515104135.1
205Alcorn St9-919641.830.421276110.5
206Little Rock9-1013341.790.454214119.1
207Denver9-116741.640.434247113.9
208Illinois St11-931541.350.482160126.5
209TN Tech10-928041.230.434250113.9
210William & Mary9-828441.200.455210119.4
211Coastal10-1115441.180.452218118.6
212E Washington10-1022341.090.442238116.0
213Stony Brook10-1022441.060.423270111.0
214Toledo9-829340.980.457207119.9
215Charlotte9-119040.920.506119132.8
216App St9-1016240.780.445233116.8
217Iona13-835840.720.435246114.1
218Georgia St9-125240.710.470178123.3
219N Kentucky10-136040.650.498137130.7
220Sacramento St10-1024740.460.436245114.4
221Butler9-1212840.290.505123132.5
222UTEP9-1018939.950.437242114.7
223Loyola Chicago9-1113239.910.499130130.9
224North Alabama9-927339.810.428263112.3
225Geo Wash11-1127539.740.463192121.5
226Utah Valley9-1020739.530.434249113.9
227St Thomas10-1122239.330.419278109.9
228Texas St9-1022139.170.436244114.4
229NC A&T7-112339.140.413291108.4
230Winthrop10-1123039.080.416283109.2
231Penn St7-14239.030.55273144.8
232Dayton10-1029238.950.476170124.9
233Norfolk St10-1123938.900.399318104.7
234Fresno St10-1125138.610.455212119.4
235SIUE10-1030638.350.402310105.5
236Creighton8-1211538.110.503127132.0
237ULM8-1111038.060.491147128.8
238Hampton8-1017338.060.401313105.2
239Elon8-1018037.990.450223118.1
240E Tenn St9-1122037.440.430257112.8
241Tulane8-1114037.410.487153127.8
242Wagner9-1028537.220.414288108.6
243Florida St7-141137.170.52597137.8
244Delaware9-1029636.960.444235116.5
245Houston6-13336.820.52892138.5
246TX Southern8-129336.780.402312105.5
247FAU9-1125736.570.452219118.6
248SMU8-1311336.570.498136130.7
249South Alabama9-1030836.410.462197121.2
250Arlington8-1117436.240.479165125.7
251Pacific8-1212236.100.461201121.0
252Alabama St7-118736.070.427265112.0
253IU Indy8-1119135.920.426266111.8
254Nicholls10-836035.820.418280109.7
255Long Island11-836335.030.383339100.5
256IL Chicago9-1132434.180.450224118.1
257Fordham9-1132734.090.430254112.8
258East Texas7-1024934.030.406301106.5
259Air Force8-1221433.860.449227117.8
260Memphis8-1222733.520.446232117.0
261Oakland7-137233.190.457208119.9
262San Diego8-1413632.860.451221118.3
263North Florida7-1215732.770.418279109.7
264New Mexico St7-1310232.440.406303106.5
265Loyola MD8-1132132.350.443237116.2
266Mt St Marys9-1134732.300.437243114.7
267UAB7-1311232.280.450225118.1
268Samford8-1415832.260.406302106.5
269Lipscomb7-1218632.000.417281109.4
270Cornell7-1126931.940.426267111.8
271VCU7-147031.790.490149128.6
272Grand Canyon6-141531.750.499132130.9
273New Hampshire7-1314231.700.422273110.7
274Marist7-147531.650.463191121.5
275Sacred Heart10-1036231.390.400314105.0
276SEMO7-1222531.280.408298107.1
277Wyoming7-1224230.900.430259112.8
278Boston Univ7-1224630.830.421274110.5
279Pittsburgh8-1429030.770.430258112.8
280Nevada7-1318730.520.431253113.1
281UC Riverside6-138030.240.424269111.3
282Montana6-138330.180.450226118.1
283Duquesne7-1320930.140.407299106.8
284Asheville8-1332229.520.36535395.8
285Northridge6-1219229.320.399319104.7
286N Arizona7-1419429.120.410294107.6
287Utah Tech6-1223428.550.415284108.9
288Queens7-1233328.430.382340100.2
289Drake6-1316728.320.455209119.4
290Chrls So6-1412128.100.432252113.4
291Utah St6-1320027.850.425268111.5
292Weber St6-157827.650.400315105.0
293Northeastern6-1133227.490.422271110.7
294Ark Pine Bluff6-1228227.440.404308106.0
295Kansas City6-158927.420.399316104.7
296Mercyhurst6-1324027.100.430255112.8
297Bucknell6-1324826.960.415286108.9
298Houston Chr5-139526.900.406304106.5
299Grambling6-1327226.560.36834996.6
300Lafayette7-1235026.410.412292108.1
301Bakersfield6-1327926.260.405306106.3
302S Illinois6-1232826.230.37734398.9
303Lowell6-1423625.900.36635296.0
304Siena7-1235725.550.399317104.7
305Yale5-1316625.490.441239115.7
306SC Upstate6-1520325.400.37134697.3
307Milwaukee7-1531725.240.383338100.5
308Manhattan5-1415324.640.440240115.5
309W Kentucky5-1415924.540.413290108.4
310Stonehill7-1236124.330.36635196.0
311Wilmington5-1326124.080.396323103.9
312Depaul5-177723.920.462198121.2
313Colgate5-1420823.700.404309106.0
314Indiana St6-1334823.680.405307106.3
315Wright St6-1530223.480.37834299.2
316Jackson St5-1422623.440.407300106.8
317W Michigan5-1329523.290.396324103.9
318New Haven6-1335123.110.34535890.5
319Seattle5-1519522.820.389330102.1
320Florida A&M5-1331422.760.386333101.3
321Portland St5-1428322.380.389331102.1
322St Peters5-1523122.280.398320104.4
323Gardner Webb6-1534022.260.395325103.6
324American5-1430921.820.408297107.1
325SC St5-1528121.420.36735096.3
326Washington St4-18721.370.479164125.7
327Evansville5-1530420.970.409296107.3
328Boston College4-184120.890.463194121.5
329MS Valley4-1423320.400.415285108.9
330North Dakota4-1612520.050.389329102.1
331Wichita St4-1612720.030.414289108.6
332Le Moyne5-1632319.630.37434498.1
333Coppin St4-186219.150.427264112.0
334NC Central3-1411918.600.402311105.5
335Detroit4-1622918.580.385334101.0
336Delaware St4-1624518.410.34435990.3
337N Illinois4-1530118.400.394326103.4
338Akron3-163918.230.429261112.6
339Hofstra3-158818.030.409295107.3
340Rider4-1628717.750.390328102.3
341Cal Poly3-1610316.970.384337100.8
342Chicago St4-1729116.940.387332101.5
343Corpus Christi3-1518216.860.385335101.0
344TN St3-1612916.770.421275110.5
345W Carolina3-1715115.690.34635790.8
346Presbyterian3-1719015.240.35635493.4
347San Jose St3-1813715.200.397321104.2
348Bethune3-1719915.190.34036089.2
349E Illinois3-1815215.000.414287108.6
350Canisius3-1629714.760.384336100.8
351Morgan St3-1913514.610.37834199.2
352SELA2-1610113.400.393327103.1
353Long Beach2-176613.100.397322104.2
354Buffalo2-179412.840.411293107.8
355Bellarmine2-194512.280.406305106.5
356Louisiana2-1810012.180.37034897.1
357Prairie View2-1719711.940.34835691.3
358Omaha2-2010911.100.37034797.1
359St Francis2-1733710.530.32836386.1
360New Orleans1-18988.510.37434598.1
361Niagara0-192563.840.35235592.4
362C Connecticut0-193203.600.33036286.6
363Valparaiso0-203163.440.33836188.7

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