G’s Evaluation or The Top 261 after Week 2

Happy Sunday and I hope you get some rest today after an exhilarating day of college football. Numerous FCS teams (Holy Cross/Boston College, Youngstown St/Ohio St, New Hampshire/C Michigan, E Illinois/Bowling Green, Charleston/Clemson, E Kentucky/Kentucky, Furman/South Carolina, Florida A&M/South Florida, Morgan St/Akron and E Washington/Fresno St) put some scare into their FBS opponents, at least for a half, some more. S Illinois (N Illinois) and Fordham (Buffalo) got the FCS/FBS upsets. Congratulations to each and every one. Look for the G’s Explanation, coming out later today or early Monday, to talk more about some key matchups yesterday. For the week, however, the GCR picked the winner of games with at least one FBS team 67 out 85 times (.788). For FCS/FCS teams, the record was a little more sobering at 17-15 (.531). Next week, most games will have ATS as well.

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Now that most teams have played at least two games, a couple of new fields have been added. These are my own metrics and try to give us an idea of how good a scoring offense or defense really is. For example, two hypothetical teams score 30 points a game. Are the offenses equal? What if I told you that team A faced defenses who average giving up 12 points a game, including the game against team A while team B’s opponents gave up 50 points a game? Now, it’s clear that A has a better scoring offense than B. The Offensive Efficiency Rating (OER) measures exactly that. A score of 100 means the team scores, on average, the same number of points that their opponents average allowing. More than 100 means a better than average offense. The Defensive Efficiency Rating (DER) is the same thing for defense. 100 means the team allows, on average, the same number of points that their opponents score on average. More than 100 means the defense is better than average. So in both metrics, larger is better. If the playoff started today, we would see Notre Dame take on Michigan, and Oklahoma tackle Rutgers, based on the GCR rankings to date. Here are all 261.

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RANKTeamConfWinLossPFPAOERDER
1Notre DameND3047.710.0167 (4)170 (32)
2OklahomaB122050.55.5133 (44)236 (13)
3RutgersB102030.07.0136 (38)271 (8)
4MichiganB102032.55.0118 (77)335 (5)
5Southern CalPAC3059.317.3145 (26)131 (69)
6SyracuseACC2056.53.5131 (48)436 (2)
7Ohio StB102029.05.0155 (17)515 (1)
8UCLAPAC2031.011.5132 (45)189 (25)
9AuburnSEC2036.512.0120 (67)257 (11)
10Florida StACC2055.518.5164 (6)201 (19)
11GeorgiaSEC2046.55.0111 (95)310 (6)
12Kansas StB122043.56.5140 (30)408 (3)
13DukeACC2035.07.0139 (34)354 (4)
14MississippiSEC2055.013.5180 (1)194 (22)
15UCFB122037.011.094 (153)107 (115)
16WashingtonPAC2049.514.5160 (11)150 (44)
17Penn StB102050.511.0154 (18)261 (9)
18Oregon StPAC2048.512.0147 (22)259 (10)
19TexasB122035.517.0119 (73)196 (21)
20Miami FLACC2043.018.0139 (33)179 (30)
21LouisvilleACC2047.517.0161 (10)181 (29)
22OregonPAC2059.518.5129 (52)118 (83)
23ArkansasSEC2042.09.5114 (89)145 (49)
24UtahPAC2022.012.095 (149)217 (15)
25CincinnatiB122046.517.0145 (23)141 (51)
26MinnesotaB102019.08.078 (199)197 (20)
27Michigan StB102038.010.5113 (93)181 (28)
28IowaB102022.013.5109 (102)250 (12)
29TennesseeSEC2039.513.096 (142)162 (35)
30BYUB122027.58.0120 (69)125 (75)
31Oklahoma StB122027.014.0140 (31)218 (14)
32Washington StPAC2040.523.0109 (99)117 (84)
33MarylandB102038.013.0126 (56)140 (54)
34Mississippi StSEC2039.515.5135 (39)139 (57)
35ColoradoPAC2040.528.0162 (9)96 (143)
36North CarolinaACC2035.525.5122 (63)140 (55)
37Wake ForestACC2036.518.5119 (72)151 (43)
38KansasB122041.020.0111 (94)126 (74)
39KentuckySEC2036.015.579 (197)76 (216)
40MissouriSEC2029.014.5102 (122)103 (121)
41Air ForceMWC2027.55.0122 (64)205 (16)
42MemphisAAC2046.58.5108 (104)141 (51)
43LibertyUSA2033.520.5119 (74)161 (36)
44James MadisonSUN2037.019.0109 (101)95 (146)
45W KentuckyUSA2046.523.0159 (13)163 (34)
46Ga SouthernSUN2041.517.5114 (88)110 (105)
47MarshallSUN2026.015.0100 (131)106 (119)
48Georgia StSUN2038.524.5134 (41)100 (129)
49ULMSUN2020.513.599 (136)187 (27)
50Fresno StMWC2036.533.0117 (81)76 (217)
51WyomingMWC2033.025.071 (213)87 (176)
52VanderbiltSEC2134.025.7129 (51)125 (76)
53StanfordPAC1123.540.098 (138)109 (108)
54Texas A&MSEC1142.529.0173 (2)131 (70)
55NebraskaB100212.024.567 (220)121 (79)
56ClemsonACC1136.522.5162 (8)111 (99)
57NorthwesternB101122.515.5150 (20)149 (46)
58NC StACC1124.029.5122 (65)105 (120)
59West VirginiaB121135.527.5167 (5)152 (42)
60OhioMAC2119.013.384 (180)145 (48)
61CaliforniaPAC1134.017.5106 (108)190 (23)
62IllinoisB101126.531.0145 (24)146 (47)
63Jacksonville StUSA2127.315.7119 (75)128 (71)
64AlabamaSEC1140.020.5142 (28)118 (82)
65Coastal CarolinaSUN1121.521.5158 (15)136 (61)
66SMUAAC1124.521.0159 (14)189 (24)
67PurdueB101129.528.0110 (96)113 (92)
68FloridaSEC1130.015.596 (143)137 (59)
69ArizonaPAC1131.017.0117 (80)153 (40)
70WisconsinB101130.024.097 (141)141 (53)
71South CarolinaSEC1132.026.0119 (76)132 (66)
72San Diego StMWC2122.025.381 (193)103 (124)
73LA TechUSA2129.025.397 (140)88 (168)
74San Jose StMWC1234.733.7163 (7)122 (78)
75NevadaMWC0210.049.569 (217)98 (138)
76FIUUSA2125.724.372 (207)94 (149)
77LSUSEC1148.027.5133 (42)138 (58)
78RiceAAC1126.539.0116 (82)83 (192)
79Iowa StB121121.514.595 (150)121 (80)
80Texas TechB120231.536.5145 (25)127 (73)
81TCUB121141.525.5123 (61)109 (106)
82Kent StMAC026.042.059 (229)94 (148)
83Georgia TechACC1141.026.0154 (19)106 (117)
84Virginia TechACC1126.520.586 (172)139 (56)
85Ball StMAC028.544.583 (185)93 (152)
86PittsburghACC1133.017.0129 (50)156 (37)
87App StSUN1139.532.0128 (53)101 (128)
88HoustonB121129.028.5107 (106)76 (214)
89IndianaB101122.015.0113 (92)108 (110)
90TulaneAAC1128.527.0141 (29)150 (44)
91TempleAAC1115.528.5105 (114)92 (154)
92VirginiaACC0224.042.5150 (20)90 (163)
93ArmyIND1135.08.5132 (46)153 (40)
94Miami OHMAC1122.033.072 (211)107 (114)
95Utah StMWC1146.026.0130 (49)96 (141)
96Arizona StPAC1119.524.084 (181)95 (145)
97E MichiganMAC1119.524.0115 (87)131 (68)
98Bowling GreenMAC1131.024.5157 (16)111 (98)
99UNLVMWC1125.524.5159 (12)102 (125)
100Boise StMWC0217.537.0137 (35)117 (85)
101C MichiganMAC1126.036.5125 (57)116 (89)
102NavyAAC1113.521.060 (227)133 (65)
103TroySUN1130.536.0172 (3)108 (112)
104Arkansas StSUN021.555.021 (251)88 (170)
105IdahoBig Sky2037.511.591 (159)111 (100)
106East CarolinaAAC028.030.580 (195)96 (142)
107Sam HoustonUSA021.513.523 (250)204 (17)
108South FloridaAAC1131.032.5132 (47)112 (96)
109UTSAAAC1117.015.063 (225)188 (26)
110N IllinoisMAC1119.019.085 (176)155 (38)
111UABAAC1135.027.5140 (32)95 (144)
112Southern MissSUN1126.540.092 (157)84 (187)
113ToledoMAC1149.516.5116 (83)136 (60)
114Illinois StMVFC2037.59.096 (146)281 (7)
115Boston CollegeACC1127.527.5124 (60)98 (135)
116S IllinoisMVFC2031.517.0108 (105)109 (106)
117North Dakota StMVFC2039.58.5124 (58)176 (31)
118Colorado StMWC0124.050.0104 (116)81 (196)
119CharlotteAAC1122.020.589 (163)111 (97)
120W MichiganMAC1121.032.5115 (86)116 (86)
121GeorgetownPatriot2038.08.5106 (111)112 (95)
122Texas StSUN1127.525.5120 (69)76 (213)
123FAUAAC1126.018.5113 (91)135 (62)
124TulsaAAC1126.025.0109 (98)120 (81)
125VillanovaColonial2040.014.5102 (120)74 (220)
126Abilene ChristianUAC2038.013.5100 (125)131 (67)
127MontanaBig Sky2039.016.5101 (123)142 (50)
128Middle TennesseeUSA0213.039.574 (204)87 (174)
129UMASSIND1227.743.3108 (103)72 (233)
130North DakotaMVFC2046.014.5117 (79)97 (140)
131New MexicoMWC1133.031.083 (184)85 (185)
132Old DominionSUN1127.533.5120 (69)91 (156)
133William & MaryColonial2028.515.0105 (115)155 (39)
134AkronMAC1122.522.599 (132)77 (211)
135South Dakota StMVFC2032.511.5100 (125)202 (18)
136Weber StBig Sky2034.513.5103 (119)85 (183)
137Sacramento StBig Sky2036.015.089 (162)77 (211)
138BaylorB120222.031.0117 (78)80 (200)
139TarletonUAC2052.032.5126 (55)72 (231)
140NC CentralMEAC2038.518.597 (139)86 (178)
141LouisianaSUN1134.525.588 (165)87 (175)
142HawaiiMWC1227.730.795 (148)88 (169)
143UCONNIND0214.029.552 (238)106 (118)
144UTEPUSA1216.323.0101 (124)113 (91)
145South AlabamaSUN1126.027.076 (201)75 (219)
146North TexasAAC0230.052.0143 (27)57 (252)
147StetsonPioneer2036.030.5100 (125)100 (129)
148New Mexico StUSA1235.031.796 (145)85 (184)
149MercerSoCon2124.034.083 (186)109 (109)
150C ArkansasUAC1141.514.599 (135)100 (129)
151FordhamPatriot2133.029.0103 (118)67 (240)
152Jackson StSWAC2124.716.392 (158)93 (150)
153Tennessee StBSO/OVC1113.535.063 (226)83 (191)
154SEMOBSO/OVC1122.526.0134 (40)164 (33)
155Murray StMVFC1120.533.089 (164)116 (88)
156Bethune CookmanSWAC1122.531.0114 (90)85 (185)
157UC DavisBig Sky1127.532.5104 (117)87 (177)
158W CarolinaSoCon1121.531.5137 (37)127 (72)
159Alabama A&MSWAC1132.030.083 (182)78 (204)
160E KentuckyUAC0215.047.092 (156)88 (172)
161Rhode IslandColonial1135.028.0116 (84)93 (151)
162Houston ChristianSouthland1144.026.099 (133)89 (165)
163DelawareColonial1122.038.094 (154)84 (188)
164Youngstown StMVFC1129.522.5137 (36)100 (129)
165South DakotaMVFC1117.017.586 (173)134 (63)
166Portland StBig Sky0212.056.055 (236)83 (193)
167E Tennessee StSoCon1122.524.578 (200)56 (253)
168Tennessee MartinBSO/OVC1122.539.594 (152)89 (166)
169New HampshireColonial1146.531.0121 (66)82 (194)
170BuffaloMAC0227.039.0102 (121)81 (197)
171Holy CrossPatriot1135.025.5126 (54)85 (182)
172Montana StBig Sky1139.520.0122 (62)123 (77)
173DuquesneNortheast1133.031.586 (170)67 (239)
174LafayettePatriot1113.028.087 (169)84 (189)
175Morgan StMEAC1119.017.071 (215)101 (126)
176Florida A&MSWAC1126.024.0106 (107)116 (87)
177Incarnate WordSouthland1128.017.594 (151)72 (228)
178HowardMEAC1144.026.099 (133)74 (222)
179BucknellPatriot1112.025.573 (206)97 (139)
180DaytonPioneer1131.032.587 (167)95 (147)
181FurmanSoCon1133.028.586 (170)74 (225)
182CampbellColonial1140.020.5133 (42)78 (206)
183ColgatePatriot029.553.5106 (111)90 (162)
184LindenwoodBSO/OVC1142.027.082 (189)58 (251)
185E IllinoisBSO/OVC1121.019.072 (210)91 (157)
186Robert MorrisBSO/OVC1119.031.5100 (125)74 (224)
187Austin PeayUAC0218.039.5120 (67)90 (164)
188Steph F AustinUAC1134.029.091 (160)73 (226)
189S UtahUAC0218.532.5116 (85)72 (229)
190CharlestonBSO/OVC1115.038.085 (178)61 (247)
191Missouri StMVFC0224.043.081 (192)74 (223)
192MonmouthColonial1131.032.5106 (110)62 (246)
193SELASouthland0212.041.556 (232)79 (202)
194Gardner WebbBSO/OVC1129.036.086 (174)85 (181)
195Cal PolyBig Sky1115.034.549 (240)73 (227)
196RichmondColonial0212.031.087 (168)92 (155)
197TowsonColonial0214.540.064 (223)86 (179)
198AlbanyColonial1223.721.795 (147)133 (64)
199E WashingtonBig Sky0220.534.599 (136)110 (104)
200ButlerPioneer1130.524.0106 (109)108 (110)
201LamarSouthland0215.533.0124 (59)88 (171)
202C ConnecticutNortheast1137.016.588 (166)76 (217)
203BryantBSO/OVC1117.527.072 (208)66 (242)
204MaineColonial029.529.058 (231)112 (93)
205ElonColonial0222.035.581 (191)92 (153)
206Kennesaw StFCSIND1129.017.085 (177)100 (129)
207VMISoCon1112.514.052 (237)111 (102)
208ChattanoogaSoCon1127.030.5110 (97)91 (158)
209CitadelSoCon023.545.018 (253)91 (159)
210Northwestern StSouthland0217.044.567 (219)71 (235)
211Idaho StBig Sky0228.057.0109 (100)60 (250)
212HamptonColonial1129.031.071 (214)77 (210)
213LehighPatriot1112.025.056 (232)112 (94)
214Long IslandNortheast0210.024.050 (239)76 (215)
215Morehead StPioneer1129.541.583 (183)71 (236)
216Prairie ViewSWAC1126.539.579 (198)72 (234)
217McNeeseSouthland0220.550.585 (175)81 (195)
218WoffordSoCon026.534.041 (243)90 (160)
219N IowaMVFC0213.032.093 (155)88 (173)
220N ArizonaBig Sky0212.537.579 (196)103 (123)
221N AlabamaUAC1226.332.081 (190)107 (113)
222South Carolina StMEAC037.736.337 (244)80 (199)
223NichollsSouthland0215.039.574 (205)98 (136)
224North Carolina A&TColonial0211.032.548 (241)113 (90)
225St ThomasPioneer1118.025.067 (218)86 (180)
226PresbyterianPioneer1129.029.072 (212)65 (244)
227Utah TechUAC0216.553.090 (161)74 (221)
228WagnerNortheast028.035.032 (249)66 (241)
229StonehillNortheast1125.040.5105 (113)103 (122)
230W IllinoisMVFC0219.546.096 (144)79 (203)
231Ark Pine BluffSWAC0210.533.035 (245)60 (249)
232DrakePioneer0215.541.081 (194)89 (167)
233SamfordSoCon1138.022.076 (202)81 (198)
234Sacred HeartNortheast0212.023.066 (222)111 (100)
235MaristPioneer017.049.082 (188)78 (208)
236Indiana StMVFC023.534.021 (252)63 (245)
237Grambling StSWAC0220.553.570 (216)72 (232)
238Delaware StMEAC025.539.556 (234)72 (230)
239CommerceSouthland028.041.034 (247)77 (209)
240Stony BrookColonial0213.536.041 (242)79 (201)
241Alcorn StSWAC0212.039.035 (246)78 (207)
242Texas SouthernSWAC0218.554.066 (221)70 (238)
243Tennessee TechBSO/OVC0210.050.534 (248)65 (243)
244St FrancisNortheast0219.033.059 (228)61 (248)
245DavidsonPioneer0219.022.584 (179)101 (127)
246MerrimackNortheast0216.028.063 (224)84 (189)
247N ColoradoBig Sky029.036.558 (230)90 (161)
248San DiegoPioneer0215.527.556 (235)78 (205)
249ValparaisoPioneer0216.038.072 (209)70 (237)
250SouthernSWAC0212.020.575 (203)98 (137)
251BrownIVY000.00.00 (254)0 (254)
251ColumbiaIVY000.00.00 (254)0 (254)
251CornellIVY000.00.00 (254)0 (254)
251DartmouthIVY000.00.00 (254)0 (254)
251HarvardIvy000.00.00 (254)0 (254)
251PennIVY000.00.00 (254)0 (254)
251PrincetonIVY000.00.00 (254)0 (254)
251YaleIVY000.00.00 (254)0 (254)
259Mississippi ValleySWAC0121.024.0100 (125)100 (129)
260Alabama StSWAC1115.515.583 (187)106 (116)
261Norfolk StMEAC1127.528.0100 (125)111 (102)

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That’s it for now. Let me know your thoughts/comments/issues/complaints in the comments. If you like what you see, please share with others. Thank you for reading and your continued support, G