G’s Expectation or Who Wins Rivalry Week?

Happy Tuesday sports fans for the last MACNation week of 2023. I’ll wait while you grab some tissue. This season has been a grind. The FCS is done except for a couple of games in the SWAC conference and the first round of the playoffs (more to come on that).

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Last week, the GCR predicted FBS games, straight up (just who is going to win), at a nice 51-17 (.750) clip to bring the season to 508-190 (.728). Against the spread, a depressing 32-32 (.500) lowering this dreadful season to 296-277 (.517). The FCS in its last full-sized and rivalry week ended 35-22 (.614) bringing the season to 364-194 (.652). For the featured games, I went back through the files and got caught up year to date. For the week, straight up in these games was 8-5 (.615), dropping season to 44-14 (.759). ATS was a low 3-4 (.429) bringing the season to 24-16 (.600).

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Congratulations to the top 8 seeds in the FCS playoff: South Dakota St, Montana, South Dakota, Idaho, Albany, Montana St, Furman, and Villanova. They all get byes this week, but the non-seeded teams line up like this.

Seeded TeamHome/Away
1) South Dakota StMercer/Gardner Webb
2) MontanaDelaware/Lafayette
3) South DakotaNorth Dakota/Sacramento St
4) IdahoS Illinois/Nicholls
5) AlbanyRichmond/NC Central
6) Montana StNorth Dakota St/Drake
7) FurmanAustin Peay/Chattanooga
8) VillanovaMercer/Gardner Webb

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NC Central is an interesting pick. They had the best record in the MEAC and deserve to be in the playoffs, but the MEAC normally doesn’t participate. Why are they? Their lone conference loss was to Howard who will now play the winner of the SWAC championship in the Celebration Bowl.

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This is the most fun week in college football and I’m not going to have any specific games. Enjoy them all. Here are all the games this week. Happy Thanksgiving as I am thankful for your readership and sharing with others, G.

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Away Team (Record/GCR Rank)Conf (Rec)Home Team (Record/GCR Rank)Conf (Rec)Vegas LineGCR to WinGCR to Cover
   ACC (14 teams)P5   
FRI 12:00Miami FL (6-5/49)ACC (2-5)Boston College (6-5/64)ACC (3-4)MIAF-8.0MIAF 57%BC
12:00Kentucky (6-5/54)SEC (3-5)Louisville (10-1/9)ACC (7-1)LOU-7.0LOU 83%LOU
12:00Pittsburgh (3-8/81)ACC (2-5)Duke (6-5/36)ACC (3-4)DUKE-6.0DUKE 65%DUKE
2:00Wake Forest (4-7/83)ACC (1-6)Syracuse (5-6/75)ACC (1-6)SYR-3.0SYR 58%SYR
3:30Virginia Tech (5-6/73)ACC (4-3)Virginia (3-8/63)ACC (2-5)VT-3.0VT 58%VT
7:00Florida St (11-0/4)ACC (8-0)Florida (5-6/70)SEC (3-5)FSU-6.5FSU 72%FSU
7:30Georgia (11-0/3)SEC (8-0)Georgia Tech (6-5/49)ACC (5-3)GEO-24.0GEO 91%GEO
7:30Clemson (7-4/32)ACC (4-4)South Carolina (4-5/47)SEC (3-5)CLEM-7.0CLEM 65%CLEM
8:00North Carolina (8-3/30)ACC (4-3)NC St (8-3/28)ACC (5-2)NCAR-3.0NCST 56%NCST
Idle  none    
   Big 12 (14 teams)P5   
FRI 12:00TCU (5-6/87)B12 (3-5)Oklahoma (9-2/12)B12 (6-2)OKLA-10.5OKLA 98%OKLA
FRI 7:30Texas Tech (6-5/55)B12 (5-3)Texas (10-1/8)B12 (7-1)TEX-12.5TEX 94%TEX
12:00Houston (4-7/92)B12 (2-6)UCF (5-6/74)B12 (2-6)UCF-13.5UCF 58%HOU
3:30BYU (5-6/76)B12 (2-6)Oklahoma St (8-3/26)B12 (6-2)OKST-17.5OKST 76%OKST
7:00West Virginia (7-4/38)B12 (5-3)Baylor (3-8/102)B12 (2-6)WVU-8.5WVU 68%WVU
7:30Kansas (7-4/33)B12 (4-4)Cincinnati (3-8/99)B12 (1-7)KAN-6.5KAN 68%KAN
8:00Iowa St (6-5/42)B12 (5-3)Kansas St (8-3/17)B12 (6-2)KSST -9.5KSST 77%KSST
OOC  none    
Idle  none    
   Big Ten (14 teams)P5   
FRI 12:00Iowa (9-2/14)B10 (6-2)Nebraska (5-6/56)B10 (3-5)NEB-2.0IOWA 73%IOWA
FRI 7:30Penn St (9-2/10) – NB10 (6-2)Michigan St (4-7/45) – NB10 (2-6)PSU-21.0PSU 96%PSU
12:00Ohio St (11-0/2)B10 (8-0)Michigan (11-0/1)B10 (8-0)MICH-3.5MICH 60%MICH
12:00Indiana (3-8/66)B10 (1-7)Purdue (3-8/57)B10 (2-6)PUR-3.0PUR 55%PUR
3:30Northwestern (6-5/69)B10 (4-4)Illinois (5-6/72)B10 (3-5)ILL-5.5NW 59%NW
3:30Wisconsin (6-5/61)B10 (4-4)Minnesota (5-6/56)B10 (3-5)WISC-2.0WISC 60%WISC
3:30Maryland (6-5/50)B10 (3-5)Rutgers (6-5/41)B10 (3-5)MARY-1.0MARY 53%MARY
OOC  none    
Idle  none    
   Pac 12 (12 teams)P5   
FRI 8:30Oregon St (9-3/22)P12 (5-3)Oregon (10-1/7)P12 (7-1)ORE-13.5ORE 84%ORE
3:00Colorado (4-7/86)P12 (1-7)Utah (7-4/35)P12 (4-4)UTAH-21.5UTAH 68%COL
3:30Arizona (8-3/23)P12 (6-2)Arizona St (3-8/71)P12 (2-6)ARIZ-11.5ARIZ 78%ARIZ
4:00Washington St (5-6/85)P12 (2-6)Washington (11-0/5)P12 (8-0)WASH-16.5WASH 93%WASH
7:00Notre Dame (8-3/21)IND (0-0)Stanford (3-8/68)P12 (2-7)ND-26.0ND 79%STAN
10:30California (5-6/59)P12 (3-5)UCLA (7-4/39)P12 (4-4)UCLA-9.0UCLA 68%UCLA
OOC  none    
Idle  Southern Cal (7-5/40)    
   SEC (14 teams)P5   
THU 7:30Mississippi (9-2/13)SEC (5-2)Mississippi St (5-6/79)SEC (1-6)MISS-10.5MISS 86%MISS
FRI 4:00Missouri (9-2/19)SEC (5-2)Arkansas (4-7/80)SEC (1-6)MIZZ-7.5MIZZ 82%MIZZ
12:00Texas A&M (7-4/34)SEC (4-3)LSU (8-3/16)SEC (5-2)LSU-10.5LSU 66%LSU
3:30Alabama (10-1/6)SEC (7-0)Auburn (6-5/48)SEC (3-4)ALA-14.5ALA 93%ALA
3:30Vanderbilt (2-9/84)SEC (0-7)Tennessee (7-4/29)SEC (3-4)TENN-27.0TENN 87%TENN
OOC  Florida (Florida St-ACC), Georgia (Georgia Tech-ACC), Kentucky (Louisville-ACC), South Carolina (Clemson-ACC)    
Idle  none    
   AAC (14 teams)G5   
FRI 12:00Memphis (8-3/60)AAC (5-2)Temple (3-8/143)AAC (1-6)MEM-11.5MEM 68%MEM
FRI 3:30UTSA (8-3/52)AAC (7-0)Tulane (10-1/18)AAC (7-0)TULN-3.0TULN 79%TULN
12:00Navy (5-5/118)AAC (4-3)SMU (9-2/25)AAC (7-0)SMU-20.5SMU 84%SMU
1:00FAU (4-7/129)AAC (3-4)Rice (5-6/105)AAC (3-4)RICE-4.0RICE 57%RICE
2:00Tulsa (3-8/107)AAC (1-6)East Carolina (2-9/108)AAC (1-6)ECAR-3.0TULS 52%TULS
2:00UAB (4-7/101)AAC (3-4)North Texas (4-7/119)AAC (2-5)NTEX-3.0NTEX 55%NTEX
7:30Charlotte (3-8/142)AAC (2-5)South Florida (5-6/109)AAC (3-4)SFLA-6.0SFLA 58%SFLA
OOC  none    
Idle  none    
   C-USA (9 teams)G5   
12:00Middle Tennessee (4-7/95)USA (3-4)Sam Houston (2-9/126)USA (1-6)MTSU-3.5MTSU 56%MTSU
3:00W Kentucky (6-5/78)USA (4-3)FIU (4-7/140)USA (1-6)WKY-10.0WKY 60%FIU
3:30Liberty (11-0/11)USA (7-0)UTEP (3-8/120)USA (2-5)LIB-17.0LIB 97%LIB
4:00Jacksonville St (8-3/46)USA (6-1)New Mexico St (9-3/43)USA (6-1)NMST-2.0NMST 57%NMST
OOC  none    
Idle  LA Tech (3-9/132)    
   FBS Independents (4 teams)G5 (ND-P5)   
12:00UCONN (2-0/113)IND (0-0)UMASS (3-8/89)IND (1-0)UCON-2.5UMAS 55%UMAS
OOC  Notre Dame (Stanford-P12)    
Idle  Army (5-6/106)    
   MAC (12 teams)G5   
TUE 7:00Bowling Green (6-5/67)MAC (4-3)W Michigan (4-7/98)MAC (3-4)BG-2.5BG 60%BG
TUE 7:30E Michigan (5-6/127)MAC (3-4)Buffalo (3-8/116)MAC (3-4)BUFF-6.5EMI 57%EMI
FRI 12:00Toledo (10-1/20)MAC (7-0)C Michigan (5-6/125)MAC (3-4)TOL-10.5TOL 87%TOL
FRI 12:00Ohio (8-3/51)MAC (5-2)Akron (2-9/152)MAC (1-6)OHIO-14.0OHIO 72%OHIO
12:00N Illinois (5-6/127)MAC (4-3)Kent St (1-10/144)MAC (0-7)NILL-19.0NILL 56%AKR
12:00Miami OH (9-2/27)MAC (6-1)Ball St (4-7/117)MAC (3-4)MIAO-6.5MIAO 81%MIAO
OOC  none    
Idle  none    
   Mountain West (12 teams)G5   
FRI 3:30Utah St (5-6/112)MWC (3-4)New Mexico (4-7/114)MWC (2-5)UTST-7.5UTST 53%NMEX
FRI 4:00Air Force (8-3/44)MWC (5-2)Boise St (6-5/82)MWC (5-2)BOST-6.0AF 67%AF
3:00San Jose St (6-5/93)MWC (5-2)UNLV (9-2/31)MWC (6-1)UNLV-3.0UNLV 76%UNLV
9:00Wyoming (7-4/58)MWC (4-3)Nevada (2-9/124)MWC (2-5)WYO-11.0WYO 64%NEV
10:30Fresno St (8-3/53)MWC (4-3)San Diego St (3-8/128)MWC (1-6)FRST-5.0FRST 71%FRST
11:00Colorado St (5-6/123)MWC (3-4)Hawaii (4-8/121)MWC (2-5)COST-6.0COST 57%HAW
OOC  none    
Idle  none    
   Sun Belt (14 teams)G5   
12:00Troy (9-2/24)SUN (6-1)Southern Miss (3-8/104)SUN (2-5)TROY-16.5TROY 81%TROY
2:00Georgia St (6-5/90)SUN (3-4)Old Dominion (5-6/100)SUN (4-3)OD-3.0GAST 57%GAST
3:00ULM (2-9/111)SUN (0-7)Louisiana (5-6/122)SUN (2-5)LAU-13.0LAU 58%ULM
3:30Ga Southern (6-5/96)SUN (3-4)App St (7-4/65)SUN (5-2)APST-9.0APST 61%GASO
3:30James Madison (10-1/15)SUN (6-1)Coastal Carolina (7-4/62)SUN (5-2)JMU-9.0JMU 83%JMU
3:30Arkansas St (6-5/94)SUN (4-3)Marshall (5-6/103)SUN (2-5)MARS-1.5ARST 58%ARST
7:00South Alabama (6-5/77)SUN (4-3)Texas St (6-5/97)SUN (3-4)SALA-6.5SALA 52%TXST
OOC  none    
Idle  none    
   Big Sky (12 teams)FCS   
1:00Sacramento St (7-4/164)SKY (4-4)North Dakota (7-4/176)MVC (5-3)NLSAC 59%NL
Idle  Idaho (8-3/148), Montana (10-1/115), Montana St (8-3/145)    
   Big South/Ohio Valley (10 teams)FCS   
3:00Gardner Webb (7-4/165)BSOV (5-1)Mercer (8-3/151)SoCon (6-2)NLMERC 64%NL
OOC  none    
Idle  none    
   Colonial (15 teams)FCS   
2:00NC Central (9-2/137)MEAC (4-1)Richmond (8-3/154)CAA (7-1)NLNCC 54%NL
2:00Lafayette (9-2/136)PAT (5-1)Delaware (8-3/146)CAA (6-2)NLLAF 55%NL
OOC  none    
Idle  Albany (9-3/141), Villanova (9-2/131)    
   FCS Independent (1 team)FCS   
Idle  End of Season    
   Ivy League (8 teams)FCS   
Idle  End of Season    
   MEAC (6 teams)FCS   
OOC  NC Central (Richmond-CAA)    
Idle  none    
   Missouri Valley (12 teams)FCS   
3:00Nicholls (6-4/169)SLAN (6-0)S Illinois (7-4/161)MVC (4-4)NLSILL 61%NL
3:30Drake (8-3/157)PFL (8-0)North Dakota St (8-3/147)MVC (5-3)NLNDST 64%NL
5:00Duquesne (7-4/166)NEC (6-1)Youngstown St (7-4/170)MVC (5-3)NLDUQ 52%NL
OOC  North Dakota (Sacramento St-SKY)    
Idle  South Dakota (9-2/133), South Dakota St (11-0/88)    
   Northeast (8 teams)FCS   
OOC  Duquesne (Youngstown St-MVC)    
Idle  none    
   Patriot League (7 teams)FCS   
OOC  Lafayette (Delaware-CAA)    
Idle  none    
   Pioneer League (11 teams)FCS   
OOC  Drake (Sacramento St-SKY)    
Idle  none    
   SoCon (9 teams)FCS   
3:00Chattanooga (7-4/160)SoCon (6-2)Austin Peay (9-2/134)UAC (6-0)NLUAC 71%NL
OOC  Mercer (Gardner Webb-BSOV)    
Idle  Furman (9-2/135)    
   Southland (8 teams)FCS   
OOC  Nicholls (S Illinois-MVC)    
Idle  none    
   SWAC (12 teams)FCS   
THU 3:00Tuskegee (NA)NAAlabama St (6-4/175)SWAC (6-3)NLNLNL
2:00Southern (5-5/197)SWAC (4-5)Grambling St (5-5/191)SWAC (4-3)NLSOUT 55%NL
OOC  none    
Idle  none    
   UAC (9 teams)FCS   
OOC  Austin Peay (Chattanooga-SoCon)    
Idle  none