G’s Evaluation or The Top 261 for Week 10

Happy Sunday and what a weekend of football is was again! Of the 62 FBS vs FBS games, 20 (.323) of them were straight up upsets, meaning 19 teams that won were Vegas underdogs. That includes Army destroying Air Force’s dream of a perfect season. Here is the complete list:

FavoriteWinner
N Illinois -3.0C Michigan 37-31
Syracuse -3.0Boston College 17-10
Notre Dame -3.0Clemson 31-23
Florida -5.5Arkansas 39-36
Wisconsin -9.5Indiana 20-14
Nebraska -3.0Michigan St 20-17
Virginia -2.5Georgia Tech 45-17
Navy -7.5Temple 32-18
Air Force -18.5Army 23-3
FAU -1.0UAB 45-42
Louisiana -9.0Arkansas St 37-17
Oklahoma -6.0Oklahoma St 27-24
Minnesota -2.0Illinois 27-24
Baylor -4.5Houston 25-24
Tulsa -3.5Charlotte 33-26
Nevada -3.0Hawaii 27-14
Ga Southern -2.0Texas St 45-24
Miami FL -4.0NC St 20-6
Washington St -13.0Stanford 10-7
UCLA -1.5Arizona 27-10

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It just shows how difficult it is to get the picks right. I was feeling bad (and still do) about the lack of success in picking against the spread this year until I saw the new guy (Stanford Steve Coughlin), who replaced the Bear, on College Game Day yesterday morning. Going into this week he was 14-24 (.368), and he is picking 4 per week, not picking every game. I looked back at this week’s predictions and games I called out. While I barely broke .500 (32-30) when considering all of the games, I was 6-1 straight up and 5-2 ATS in FBS games and 1-1 in FCS games for the 9 highlighted. Now, I’m thinking I may need to add a “here’s the games I feel strongly about” to the “here’s every game”. Let me think about that for a bit.

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This week, the top 4 didn’t change at all with Michigan vs Georgia and Ohio St vs Florida St. With Air Force losing, the highest rated Group of 5 team is Liberty (12th) with James Madison (13th) just behind. The best FCS team, by far, and the only undefeated team in that league is South Dakota St (69th) who just soundly beat their archrival North Dakota St (who is having an off year for them with their 3rd loss).

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Congratulations to Arizona, Boston College, Coastal Carolina, Duke, Kentucky, NC St, Texas St, UTSA, West Virginia, and Wyoming who are now bowl eligible making the total 52 so far with 3 weeks to go. The teams who no longer qualify for bowls ballooned from 11 to 21 with Arizona St, Ball St, Cincinnati, LA Tech, Nevada, New Mexico St, Pittsburgh, Purdue, Virginia, and UTEP joining. In the FCS, we now have 18 teams who qualify (but are not guaranteed) for one of the 24 playoff spots with 11 teams joining the list: Albany, Austin Peay, Butler, Davidson, Idaho, Mercer, Montana St, South Dakota, Tarleton, Tennessee Martin, and Villanova. Only 6 FCS teams got their dreaded 5th loss, thus eliminating them from the playoffs: Campbell, E Kentucky, Merrimack, Marist, New Hampshire, and SEMO. And a final shout out to Sam Houston who promoted to the FBS this season and started 0-8, until they came back from a double-digit deficit to beat FCS Kennesaw St (who will promote and be conference mates with SHOU next year), 24-21. There are now no winless teams in the FBS although their are still 8 in the FCS.

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Without further ado, here are all 261 teams from top to bottom. Thank you, as always, for reading and sharing, G.

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RANKTeamConfWinLossPFPAOERDER
1MichiganB109040.76.7166 (4)338 (1)
2Ohio StB109032.810.7146 (16)272 (2)
3Florida StACC9039.617.0157 (9)157 (22)
4GeorgiaSEC9039.315.4142 (19)180 (10)
5WashingtonPAC9041.723.0143 (18)128 (51)
6Penn StB108140.211.9172 (2)216 (4)
7OregonPAC8147.416.0161 (7)186 (8)
8TexasB128134.317.6138 (23)171 (13)
9AlabamaSEC8131.917.8127 (44)180 (9)
10MississippiSEC8138.822.9158 (8)135 (39)
11LouisvilleACC8132.916.3132 (34)155 (24)
12LibertyUSA9039.121.9148 (15)111 (89)
13James MadisonSUN9033.219.6122 (53)140 (33)
14OklahomaB127239.919.8155 (11)151 (27)
15Air ForceMWC8130.214.4109 (97)166 (18)
16TennesseeSEC7234.818.4133 (32)157 (23)
17Fresno StMWC8134.021.7113 (88)117 (75)
18TulaneAAC8128.719.398 (140)158 (20)
19Oregon StPAC7235.220.9136 (28)135 (38)
20KansasB127234.927.3137 (27)103 (114)
21IowaB107218.413.775 (213)186 (7)
22UtahPAC7225.015.997 (146)194 (5)
23Oklahoma StB127230.724.3129 (40)125 (56)
24ToledoMAC8134.419.3119 (60)128 (50)
25MissouriSEC7232.424.0131 (37)132 (44)
26Notre DameND7336.816.9164 (5)165 (19)
27North CarolinaACC7239.123.3140 (20)118 (73)
28LSUSEC6345.228.2197 (1)106 (102)
29Kansas StB126336.617.8150 (13)170 (15)
30DukeACC6325.715.7118 (69)178 (11)
31SMUAAC7240.015.9140 (22)158 (21)
32Southern CalPAC7345.534.5169 (3)83 (211)
33TroySUN7227.216.1108 (99)187 (6)
34ArizonaPAC6330.819.8114 (82)150 (28)
35Miami OHMAC7229.819.0109 (95)128 (52)
36UCLAPAC6328.616.3113 (89)176 (12)
37Miami FLACC6332.120.0125 (49)139 (35)
38West VirginiaB126331.424.3121 (57)119 (68)
39KentuckySEC6330.022.3115 (78)122 (63)
40RutgersB106326.817.9118 (63)132 (45)
41UNLVMWC7236.725.4131 (35)104 (108)
42NC StACC6324.720.9107 (101)125 (58)
43Boston CollegeACC6326.926.3107 (103)108 (94)
44MemphisAAC7239.227.9132 (33)99 (136)
45Texas A&MSEC5432.321.6130 (38)137 (36)
46ClemsonACC5429.021.2134 (31)131 (47)
47Georgia TechACC5433.230.1137 (24)96 (149)
48Jacksonville StUSA7328.520.7107 (104)115 (78)
49Coastal CarolinaSUN6330.021.0114 (84)134 (41)
50Iowa StB125423.620.7103 (119)134 (40)
51New Mexico StUSA7327.820.087 (180)115 (80)
52AuburnSEC5427.221.799 (134)147 (29)
53WyomingMWC6323.925.190 (165)126 (55)
54Ga SouthernSUN6332.726.9117 (72)94 (162)
55Georgia StSUN6328.627.3114 (83)98 (145)
56WisconsinB105423.619.199 (136)131 (48)
57FloridaSEC5428.924.7117 (74)109 (92)
58Texas StSUN6336.228.2131 (36)91 (176)
59MinnesotaB105421.723.2102 (122)109 (93)
60OhioMAC6321.815.784 (190)145 (30)
61UTSAAAC6331.225.8107 (105)107 (98)
62MarylandB105430.723.8126 (46)101 (124)
63South CarolinaSEC3626.831.1125 (48)102 (118)
64BYUB125422.926.992 (159)108 (97)
65NebraskaB105419.918.879 (202)133 (42)
66IndianaB103618.828.0101 (126)102 (119)
67PurdueB102720.931.2114 (87)85 (201)
68Michigan StB103618.226.692 (157)105 (107)
69South Dakota StMVFC9038.311.9162 (6)232 (3)
70CaliforniaPAC3630.836.8126 (45)93 (170)
71Bowling GreenMAC5422.424.6101 (128)111 (88)
72W KentuckyUSA5428.927.7118 (65)100 (127)
73IllinoisB104521.127.695 (153)102 (116)
74Texas TechB124530.625.7125 (47)118 (71)
75ColoradoPAC4530.733.9122 (54)89 (186)
76NorthwesternB104520.124.2102 (121)105 (104)
77VirginiaACC2723.132.4103 (116)94 (159)
78StanfordPAC3621.334.183 (193)99 (133)
79Virginia TechACC4523.624.199 (133)108 (96)
80SyracuseACC4524.623.394 (154)118 (74)
81ArkansasSEC3627.924.3109 (96)125 (59)
82UCFB124532.829.4129 (39)101 (126)
83Arizona StPAC2717.829.766 (241)112 (86)
84Washington StPAC4529.328.6119 (62)95 (152)
85Wake ForestACC4522.124.490 (167)110 (90)
86VanderbiltSEC2824.433.9101 (129)91 (177)
87Mississippi StSEC4522.725.789 (172)117 (77)
88South AlabamaSUN4530.921.9118 (66)122 (65)
89App StSUN5434.028.4122 (52)89 (188)
90HoustonB124525.231.6103 (117)94 (164)
91TCUB124529.224.3118 (64)122 (64)
92PittsburghACC2720.728.291 (163)104 (111)
93Arkansas StSUN5424.631.986 (184)86 (197)
94LouisianaSUN5431.128.0107 (102)93 (165)
95Boise StMWC4530.028.9112 (91)110 (91)
96Florida A&MSWAC8131.216.7112 (90)131 (49)
97San Jose StMWC4533.027.4115 (80)113 (84)
98UABAAC3630.838.1117 (73)80 (224)
99Utah StMWC4534.932.9137 (26)81 (216)
100C MichiganMAC5423.729.993 (155)84 (206)
101MontanaBig Sky8129.415.8105 (113)154 (26)
102MarshallSUN4522.928.498 (145)95 (153)
103FurmanSoCon8128.019.2103 (118)126 (54)
104Middle TennesseeUSA2721.930.986 (183)93 (166)
105HarvardIvy7134.419.5149 (14)123 (60)
106NC CentralMEAC8136.425.8127 (43)83 (210)
107RiceAAC4533.028.7119 (61)93 (167)
108BaylorB123622.729.491 (162)94 (161)
109NevadaMWC2717.632.062 (245)100 (129)
110CincinnatiB122725.328.398 (143)99 (135)
111Old DominionSUN4524.426.292 (160)100 (130)
112South FloridaAAC4530.437.0115 (81)78 (238)
113UMASSIND3723.537.4104 (114)74 (244)
114W MichiganMAC3626.232.8121 (59)72 (253)
115N IllinoisMAC4525.023.0105 (109)102 (121)
116Southern MissSUN2723.035.892 (158)81 (219)
117UCONNIND1817.932.668 (233)89 (189)
118East CarolinaAAC1817.724.875 (210)123 (61)
119FAUAAC4527.726.299 (137)102 (120)
120Montana StBig Sky7242.319.6145 (17)143 (31)
121Ball StMAC2716.728.467 (237)94 (163)
122TulsaAAC3622.435.688 (175)81 (222)
123Sam HoustonUSA1816.926.672 (222)98 (144)
124DelawareColonial7233.820.8116 (76)125 (57)
125IdahoBig Sky7231.820.9112 (92)127 (53)
126ArmyIND3620.423.077 (206)119 (70)
127VillanovaColonial7232.219.7110 (94)123 (62)
128Austin PeayUAC7238.226.7137 (25)102 (117)
129Incarnate WordSouthland7232.319.098 (144)98 (142)
130NavyAAC3518.323.466 (240)119 (69)
131BuffaloMAC3624.429.196 (149)91 (175)
132FIUUSA4520.828.676 (209)91 (179)
133San Diego StMWC3620.128.677 (204)96 (150)
134Tennessee MartinBSO/OVC7232.324.8122 (55)103 (115)
135DavidsonPioneer7245.425.3136 (29)83 (212)
136South DakotaMVFC7222.116.195 (151)169 (17)
137LafayettePatriot7228.123.0116 (77)105 (105)
138E MichiganMAC4518.622.366 (239)103 (113)
139UTEPUSA3718.126.675 (211)101 (123)
140North TexasAAC3634.836.7122 (51)74 (246)
141LA TechUSA3726.730.3102 (123)88 (191)
142Colorado StMWC3626.332.191 (164)91 (180)
143PennIVY6226.920.1105 (108)112 (85)
144AlbanyColonial7327.618.6102 (124)141 (32)
145ButlerPioneer7330.918.0102 (120)132 (43)
146HawaiiMWC3721.534.079 (200)83 (208)
147CharlotteAAC3616.824.866 (238)106 (100)
148TempleAAC3620.635.879 (199)76 (240)
149ChattanoogaSoCon7331.620.6117 (70)108 (95)
150New MexicoMWC3627.435.399 (138)73 (251)
151MercerSoCon7327.224.299 (135)96 (147)
152ULMSUN2718.931.971 (228)89 (182)
153Jackson StSWAC7327.623.5107 (106)98 (141)
154TarletonUAC7333.524.0114 (86)105 (103)
155Kent StMAC1814.132.858 (249)79 (232)
156Holy CrossPatriot6340.128.4156 (10)95 (155)
157S IllinoisMVFC6325.816.395 (150)170 (14)
158North Dakota StMVFC6335.019.7123 (50)140 (34)
159C ArkansasUAC6334.123.9110 (93)113 (83)
160FordhamPatriot6333.925.2117 (71)91 (178)
161Sacramento StBig Sky6329.924.9107 (107)104 (110)
162DuquesneNortheast6329.331.2105 (110)71 (254)
163E IllinoisBSO/OVC6322.420.777 (205)115 (81)
164N IowaMVFC6327.223.398 (139)114 (82)
165RichmondColonial6326.621.085 (187)102 (122)
166Alcorn StSWAC6323.119.979 (201)104 (112)
167Tennessee StBSO/OVC6325.923.085 (185)94 (160)
168W CarolinaSoCon6336.830.1135 (30)79 (230)
169AkronMAC2717.129.162 (244)75 (243)
170St ThomasPioneer6325.424.396 (148)99 (134)
171DrakePioneer6321.625.183 (194)100 (132)
172YaleIVY5330.019.1128 (42)117 (76)
173Youngstown StMVFC6334.925.2151 (12)99 (138)
174North DakotaMVFC6334.426.4122 (56)93 (168)
175Alabama StSWAC5319.016.584 (192)154 (25)
176UC DavisBig Sky5425.726.091 (161)106 (101)
177Illinois StMVFC5432.921.8118 (67)115 (79)
178ElonColonial5421.923.684 (189)121 (66)
179Gardner WebbBSO/OVC5427.334.4100 (132)81 (221)
180Abilene ChristianUAC5427.327.890 (169)98 (143)
181William & MaryColonial5420.218.671 (230)132 (46)
182SouthernSWAC5423.019.385 (186)118 (72)
183LamarSouthland5422.321.781 (196)94 (158)
184HamptonColonial5425.834.193 (156)80 (225)
185Rhode IslandColonial5428.627.9104 (115)98 (140)
186NichollsSouthland4426.125.8101 (127)101 (125)
187SamfordSoCon5430.124.797 (147)87 (194)
188Houston ChristianSouthland4425.326.178 (203)80 (223)
189DartmouthIVY4420.520.888 (176)120 (67)
190PrincetonIVY4417.314.472 (220)169 (16)
191BrownIVY4427.629.8121 (58)89 (185)
192Portland StBig Sky4537.233.6105 (112)81 (218)
193E KentuckyUAC4529.334.9100 (130)85 (199)
194S UtahUAC4531.225.3105 (111)96 (148)
195CampbellColonial4531.234.1117 (75)78 (236)
196E WashingtonBig Sky4533.232.3118 (68)87 (192)
197BryantBSO/OVC4528.929.2108 (98)82 (214)
198Weber StBig Sky4520.723.972 (225)107 (99)
199HowardMEAC4528.025.388 (177)89 (184)
200ColgatePatriot4521.436.090 (170)74 (248)
201VMISoCon4515.223.756 (253)104 (109)
202Grambling StSWAC4527.930.389 (171)83 (209)
203SEMOBSO/OVC4528.826.7114 (85)99 (137)
204TowsonColonial4524.832.6101 (125)82 (213)
205Prairie ViewSWAC4519.133.874 (215)73 (249)
206CharlestonBSO/OVC4517.130.373 (217)84 (204)
207New HampshireColonial4537.430.7140 (21)82 (215)
208MonmouthColonial4537.025.7128 (41)92 (173)
209South Carolina StMEAC4523.027.373 (219)78 (235)
210Alabama A&MSWAC4531.327.7100 (131)73 (252)
211MerrimackNortheast4527.320.789 (174)92 (174)
212McNeeseSouthland0817.536.872 (226)70 (256)
213W IllinoisMVFC0914.048.259 (248)62 (260)
214GeorgetownPatriot4524.822.995 (152)94 (157)
215Stony BrookColonial0914.739.356 (252)78 (234)
216N ColoradoBig Sky0913.834.752 (257)79 (227)
217Northwestern StSouthland0614.035.552 (256)74 (247)
218CitadelSoCon099.337.636 (261)76 (241)
219BucknellPatriot3622.633.389 (173)79 (233)
220MaristPioneer4518.228.171 (229)85 (200)
221WoffordSoCon0913.629.154 (255)84 (203)
222Indiana StMVFC0912.431.850 (260)79 (226)
223Murray StMVFC2717.733.974 (216)78 (239)
224Missouri StMVFC3630.731.3107 (100)89 (181)
225Morgan StMEAC3516.822.964 (242)111 (87)
226N ArizonaBig Sky3625.132.398 (141)95 (156)
227Texas SouthernSWAC2723.335.084 (191)70 (255)
228Robert MorrisBSO/OVC3621.830.977 (208)79 (229)
229North Carolina A&TColonial1815.430.857 (250)92 (171)
230CornellIVY3519.323.677 (207)105 (106)
231Bethune CookmanSWAC2718.327.671 (227)85 (202)
232Steph F AustinUAC3631.229.8115 (79)89 (187)
233Long IslandNortheast3616.026.260 (247)93 (169)
234E Tennessee StSoCon2717.629.968 (232)79 (231)
235WagnerNortheast3614.428.756 (251)86 (198)
236Cal PolyBig Sky3619.438.367 (236)75 (242)
237Idaho StBig Sky3627.239.298 (142)70 (257)
238Mississippi ValleySWAC1812.027.652 (258)92 (172)
239StonehillNortheast3519.531.575 (212)81 (220)
240Delaware StMEAC1818.135.172 (223)64 (259)
241Morehead StPioneer3618.830.072 (221)87 (195)
242Ark Pine BluffSWAC1813.132.851 (259)69 (258)
243Tennessee TechBSO/OVC3617.127.063 (243)95 (154)
244CommerceSouthland1816.130.161 (246)87 (196)
245StetsonPioneer3624.037.390 (166)79 (228)
246SELASouthland2723.330.986 (182)83 (207)
247Utah TechUAC2724.640.287 (181)73 (250)
248ColumbiaIVY2614.118.467 (235)136 (37)
249LindenwoodBSO/OVC3624.130.872 (224)74 (245)
250St FrancisNortheast3624.827.890 (168)81 (217)
251N AlabamaUAC3723.930.887 (179)96 (151)
252LehighPatriot2717.928.673 (218)100 (128)
253PresbyterianPioneer3621.426.370 (231)88 (190)
254MaineColonial2823.431.687 (178)78 (237)
255ValparaisoPioneer2718.026.374 (214)97 (146)
256Kennesaw StFCSIND2621.519.881 (197)98 (139)
257San DiegoPioneer3621.326.381 (195)89 (183)
258Sacred HeartNortheast2814.424.155 (254)100 (131)
259C ConnecticutNortheast3626.628.884 (188)59 (261)
260DaytonPioneer2721.628.268 (234)84 (205)
261Norfolk StMEAC2722.628.980 (198)87 (193)