G’s Expectation or A Wednesday Triple Dip!

Welcome back, oh great and wonderful readers, to episode 740 or a bunch of mid-week games to choose from. We have one game underway already as the Miami OH (3-0/197) look to remain perfect against non-Division I (ND1) foe Mt Vernon. With 1:21 in the first quarter, that desire looks secure 29-10.

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Jumping into yesterday’s results, we had mixed success in football with W Michigan winning and covering, Ohio failing to win or cover, and Kent St failing to win, but covering the spread. We start the week 1-2 straight up and 2-1 against the spread. Men’s basketball had 49 predicted games with the GCR correct in 36 (735) of them bringing the season to 58-24 (707). The GCR went 21-3 (875) in predicting women’s games yesterday bringing that record to 64-18 (780). In all of basketball, a 57-16 (781) day gives us a 122-42 (744) mark on the young season.

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We have three more MAC games today hoping to pull this dismal prediction season up a bit. Don’t get us wrong, the football chaos has been tremendously exciting – just bad for prediction models. Here is today’s slate.

Time (ET)Games of November 11thConferenceVegasGCRCoverTV
7:30Buffalo (6-3/82) at Ball St (3-6/146)MACBUFF -1.5BUFFBUFFESPN2
7:30Sacramento St (2-8/206) at C Michigan (4-5/86)MACCMI -18.5CMICMIESPNU
7:30UMASS (5-4/93) at Toledo (7-2/51)MACTOL -14.5TOLTOLCBS Sports

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We have 67 men’s games today with 42 more predictions. Speaking of predictions, our goal for picking the winner (straight up) in all 3 sports we track is 750. Football, as we mentioned, is woefully short of that mark and basketball is looking good…but it’s early. Most of the games being played at this time of year are not two marquee teams, although some are. There are 3 factors in the algorithms for basketball predictions: how good is each team’s record, how good is each team’s strength of schedule to date (remember all games in the GCR happen “now” – there is no past nor future), and how good is each team’s opponents’ strengths of schedule. How those are calculated are slightly different so, assuming both teams are D1 and have played at least two games, if those two algorithms agree on a winner, we post that winner, otherwise we call it too close and publish NPre (No Prediction). Here is the full slate of men’s games today.

TimeMBB November 11th (All Times Eastern)ConfPredTV
11:30amFair Dickins (1-2/249) / East Texas (2-0/26)NEC/SLANETEXESPN+
12:00Kansas City (1-2/191) / Florida A&M (0-3/353)SUM/SWACKCYouTube
1:00Dartmouth (2-1/316) / Albany (2-1/317)Ivy/AMEDARTESPN+
2:00Incarnate Word (0-3/346) / UC Davis (1-1/326)SLAN/MTWNPreMW+
3:00St Josephs (2-0/13) / South Florida (1-1/41)A10/AACSTJSCBS Sports
3:00Loyola Chicago (2-0/61) / Air Force (2-1/267)A10/MTWLOYCMW+
4:00NC A&T (1-1/286) / East Carolina (1-1/124)CAA/AACECARESPN+
5:00Bethune (0-3/306) / San Diego St (2-0/39)SWAC/P12SDSTYouTube
5:20Penn (1-1/140) / Navy (2-1/145)Ivy/PATPENNCBS Sports
6:00Voorhees (—) / Wofford (1-2/158)—/SoConNPreESPN+
6:00Lynchburg (—) / W Carolina (1-1/89)—/SoConNPreESPN+
6:00NC Central (0-2/242) / VMI (1-2/213)MEAC/SoConNPreESPN+
6:00Thomas Coll (—) / New Hampshire (2-1/208)—/AMENPreESPN+
6:30Charleston (2-0/364) / Temple (1-1/37)CAA/AACTEMPESPN+
6:30Bob Jones (—) / SC Upstate (0-3/347)—/BSONPreESPN+
6:30S Indiana (1-2/318) / IU Indy (2-0/324)OVC/HORNPreESPN+
6:30Great Lakes Chr (—) / E Michigan (1-1/92)—/MACNPreESPN+
7:00Colgate (0-2/296) / St Johns (2-0/83)PAT/BESTJHPeacock
7:00Marquette (2-0/113) / Michigan (1-1/67)BE/B10NPreFox Sports 1
7:00Milwaukee (1-2/202) / Indiana St (1-1/143)HOR/MVCINSTESPN+
7:00Kent St (1-1/327) / Wilmington (2-0/186)MAC/CAAWILMFloCollege
7:00Lees McRae (—) / Greensboro (1-2/295)—/SoConNPreESPN+
7:00Bryant Str (—) / Wagner (0-3/281)—/NECNPreNEC Front Row
7:00Old Dominion (3-0/243) / Norfolk St (2-1/321)SUN/MEACODMEAC Network
7:00SC St (3-0/315) / Notre Dame (3-0/34)MEAC/ACCNDACC Extra
7:00OK Panhandle (—) / Alabama St (0-2/338)—/SWACNPreHornet Sports
7:00Centenary (—) / Lamar (1-1/341)—/SLANNPreESPN+
7:00Wm Paterson (—) / Rider (0-3/333)—/MAACNPreESPN+
7:00Stony Brook (1-1/164) / Princeton (2-1/268)CAA/IvySBESPN+
7:00St Peters (0-3/342) / South Carolina (2-0/72)MAAC/SECSCARSEC+
7:00Furman (3-0/241) / Holy Cross (0-2/217)SoCon/PATHCESPN+
7:00Franklin (—) / Bellarmine (0-3/291)—/ASUNNPreESPN+
7:00Clarke (—) / N Illinois (1-2/171)—/HORNPreESPN+
7:00James Madison (0-2/288) / Delaware (1-1/169)SUN/USANPreESPN+
7:00Campbell (0-2/261) / E Tenn St (0-2/181)CAA/SoConETSUESPN+
7:00NJ Tech (1-3/297) / VCU (1-1/108)AME/A10VCUESPN+
7:00William & Mary (2-0/214) / FAU (1-1/114)CAA/AACFAUESPN+
7:00Asheville (1-2/253) / West Georgia (0-2/188)BSO/UACWGAESPN+
7:00American (0-2/218) / Drexel (1-1/101)PAT/CAANPreFloCollege
7:00Cornell (2-1/264) / St Bonaventure (1-1/177)Ivy/A10STBESPN+
7:00Lowell (3-0/240) / UMASS (1-1/88)AME/MACUMASESPN+
7:30Campbellsville (—) / W Kentucky (2-1/266)—/USANPreESPN+
7:30Pepperdine (2-1/344) / Sam Houston (1-1/170)WCC/USASHOUESPN+
7:30Friends (—) / Wichita St (1-1/63)—/AACNPreESPN+
7:30Binghamton (2-1/151) / Misericordia (—)AME/—BINGMACtv
8:00Jax St (1-1/354) / Houston (2-0/4)USA/B12HOUESPN+
8:00Robert Morris (0-2/282) / Arkansas (1-1/48)HOR/SECARKSEC+
8:00Valparaiso (2-0/97) / South Dakota St (2-0/130)MVC/SUMVALSummit Network
8:00Blackburn (—) / E Illinois (0-3/283)—/OVCNPreESPN+
8:00Oral Roberts (1-1/329) / Tulsa (2-0/252)SUM/AACTULSESPN+
8:00Jackson St (1-2/76) / Southern Miss (1-1/259)SWAC/SUNJACKESPN+
8:00Macalester (—) / St Thomas (1-2/211)—/SUMNPreSummit Network
8:00Steph F Austin (2-0/365) / Abilene Chr (1-1/112)SLAN/UACABCHESPN+
8:00Santa Clara (3-0/99) / North Texas (2-0/125)WCC/AACSCLAESPN+
8:00Erskine (—) / Gardner Webb (0-2/176)—/BSONPreESPN+
9:00Ark Pine Bluff (0-2/246) / UCLA (2-0/11)SWAC/B10UCLAPeacock
9:00Lindenwood (2-1/235) / Nebraska (2-0/12)OVC/B10NEBFox Sports 1
9:00Oakland (0-4/336) / Boise St (2-0/127)HOR/P12NPreYouTube
9:00Portland St (1-1/345) / Colorado St (2-0/65)SKY/P12COSTYouTube
9:00Nevada (2-0/119) / Santa Barbara (2-0/360)MTW/BWNEVESPN+
9:00Cal Poly (1-1/263) / Grand Canyon (2-0/228)BW/MTWGCMW+
10:00Lincoln CA (—) / UC Irvine (2-0/280)—/BWNPreESPN+
10:00MS Valley (0-2/227) / Oregon (2-0/141)SWAC/B10OREB1G+
10:00Chicago St (1-2/163) / CA Baptist (0-2/334)NEC/BWCHSTESPN+
10:00Pacific (2-0/325) / Long Beach (0-2/285)WCC/BWLBESPN+
10:00UTSA (1-1/139) / Seattle (1-1/153)AAC/WCCUTSAESPN+
11:00Southern Cal (2-0/18) / California (2-1/110)B10/ACCSCALESPN2

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The RedHawks are punishing Mt Vernon 47-19 with about 4:00 to go in the half. The women have 51 games today with 38 falling into prediction mode (not the active game – insert head slap emoji). Here are all the games on tap today.

TimeWBB November 11th (all times Eastern)ConfPredTV
10:30amMt Vernon (—) / Miami OH (3-0/197)—/MACNPreESPN+
12:00Houston Chr (1-2/242) / North Texas (1-1/247)SLAN/AACHOCHESPN+
12:00Incarnate Word (1-1/147) / UTSA (0-2/318)SLAN/AACIWESPN+
1:00South Alabama (1-2/211) / FAU (1-2/77)SUN/AACFAUESPN+
1:00Bethune (2-1/119) / BYU (3-0/23)SWAC/B12BYUESPN+
2:00Quinnipiac (1-2/270) / St Johns (2-0/35)MAAC/BESTJHESPN+
4:00Oregon (2-1/63) / Vermont (2-1/207)B10/AMEOREESPN+
4:30Mercyhurst (1-2/142) / St Bonaventure (1-0/361)NEC/A10NPreESPN+
5:00E Illinois (0-3/313) / St Louis (1-1/288)OVC/A10NPreESPN+
6:00Toccoa Falls (—) / Georgia St (0-3/343)—/SUNNPreESPN+
6:00E Michigan (0-2/221) / Robert Morris (1-1/210)MAC/HORNPreESPN+
6:00Idaho St (2-1/87) / Utah St (1-2/189)SKY/P12IDSTYouTube
6:00Binghamton (1-2/190) / Colgate (1-0/358)AME/PATNPreESPN+
6:00George Mason (2-1/161) / Army (2-0/312)A10/PATGMESPN+
6:00Coppin St (2-1/181) / Hofstra (1-1/248)MEAC/CAACOPPFloCollege
6:00Jacksonville (1-1/55) / Coastal (2-0/350)ASUN/SUNJAXESPN+
6:00Navy (1-1/290) / James Madison (1-2/144)PAT/SUNJMUESPN+
6:00Siena (1-2/251) / Syracuse (2-0/34)MAAC/ACCSYRACC Extra
6:00San Francisco (1-1/101) / Air Force (2-0/157)WCC/MTWSFMW+
6:00Stony Brook (2-0/329) / Niagara (0-3/335)CAA/MAACNPreESPN+
6:00Mt St Marys (0-3/326) / Lehigh (0-2/236)MAAC/PATLEHESPN+
6:00Drexel (1-1/192) / Virginia (3-0/13)CAA/ACCVIRACC Extra
6:00Marist (0-3/323) / Duquesne (1-1/152)MAAC/A10DUQESPN+
6:00NJ Tech (3-0/268) / Lafayette (1-1/81)AME/PATLAFESPN+
6:00West Florida (1-2/271) / Florida St (3-0/67)UAC/ACCFSUACC Extra
6:00Georgetown (3-0/104) / Geo Wash (1-1/154)BE/A10GTOWESPN+
6:00Fordham (3-0/356) / Bucknell (0-2/284)A10/PATBUCKESPN+
6:00Radford (1-2/208) / Campbell (0-3/337)BSO/CAARADFloCollege
6:00Greensboro (2-1/182) / Gardner Webb (1-0/361)SoCon/BSONPreESPN+
6:00Lowell (2-1/264) / Boston College (0-2/260)AME/ACCBCACC Extra
6:30Evansville (0-2/291) / Kentucky (3-0/9)MVC/SECKENYSEC+
6:30Oakland (2-1/219) / Michigan St (2-0/52)HOR/B10MISTB1G+
6:30Temple (1-1/148) / La Salle (1-1/68)AAC/A10LASESPN+
6:30Austin Peay (2-0/355) / UCF (2-1/29)UAC/B12UCFESPN+
6:30St Josephs (1-0/357) / Cincinnati (2-0/92)A10/B12NPreESPN+
6:30New Hampshire (2-1/263) / Dartmouth (1-1/193)AME/IVYDARTESPN+
6:30Kennesaw St (2-1/353) / Georgia (3-0/1)USA/SECGEOSEC+
7:00South Dakota St (1-1/61) / Texas (2-0/21)SUM/SECTEXSEC Network
7:00Albany (3-0/130) / Mississippi (2-0/73)AME/SECMISSSEC+
7:00NC Central (2-2/209) / North Carolina (0-2/88)MEAC/ACCNCARACC Extra
7:00Cornell IA (—) / W Illinois (2-1/123)—/OVCNPreESPN+
7:00E Tenn St (2-1/122) / Elon (1-1/348)SoCon/CAAETSUFloCollege
7:00Chrls So (0-2/327) / Mercer (2-1/121)BSO/SoConMERCESPN+
7:00Ave Maria (—) / Fla Gulf Coast (1-1/97)—/ASUNNPreESPN+
7:00Stillman (—) / UAB (2-0/315)—/AACNPreESPN+
7:00MS for Women (—) / Alcorn St (0-1/93)—/SWACNPreSWAC TV
7:00N Illinois (1-1/282) / Depaul (3-0/125)HOR/BEDEPESPN+
7:00App St (2-0/351) / Davidson (1-2/145)SUN/A10DAVESPN+
7:00Northeastern (1-1/117) / Sacred Heart (1-1/185)CAA/MAACNEESPN+
7:00Long Island (0-3/277) / SMU (3-0/39)NEC/ACCSMUACC Extra
7:00UMASS (1-1/69) / Harvard (2-1/50)MAC/IVYHARVESPN+
7:00High Point (3-0/319) / East Carolina (1-1/194)BSO/AACECARESPN+
7:00Monmouth (2-0/205) / Rutgers (3-0/71)CAA/B10RUTGB1G+
7:00Liberty (2-0/261) / NC St (2-1/19)USA/ACCNCSTACC Extra
7:00South Dakota (2-0/311) / Creighton (2-0/31)SUM/BECREISummit Network
7:30W Kentucky (2-0/307) / Vanderbilt (3-0/78)USA/SECVANSEC+
7:30Green Bay (1-1/62) / Illinois St (3-0/151)HOR/MVCGBAYESPN+
7:30Delaware (0-2/283) / Wisconsin (3-0/40)USA/B10WISB1G+
7:30Troy (2-0/349) / Mississippi St (2-0/24)SUN/SECMSSTSEC+
7:30Louisiana (1-1/158) / East Texas (1-2/139)SUN/SLANETEXESPN+
7:30Abilene Chr (2-0/314) / Rio Grande (1-2/188)UAC/SLANRGESPN+
8:00Chicago St (2-2/228) / IL Chicago (2-1/44)NEC/MVCILCHESPN+
8:00Sul Ross (—) / Tarleton (1-1/58)—/UACNPreESPN+
8:00Warner (—) / Portland (1-2/199)—/WCCNPreESPN+
8:00Arkansas St (0-2/339) / Loyola Chicago (1-1/224)SUN/A10LOYCESPN+
9:00NW Nazarene (—) / Oregon St (1-1/132)—/P12NPreYouTube
9:00Nelson (—) / Utah Tech (1-1/265)—/SKYNPreESPN+
9:00Seattle (2-1/89) / Cal Poly (2-1/334)WCC/BWSEAESPN+
9:30New Mexico (1-1/316) / Fresno St (1-1/183)MTW/P12FRSTYouTube
10:00Colorado (2-0/46) / San Diego St (3-0/74)B12/P12COLYouTube

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That’s it for this short and sweet episode. Tune in later today for a rare double basketball (both men and women) Evaluation. Normally, we have the Women on Tuesday (games through Monday) and the Men on Wednesday (games through Tuesday), but we had a few coding discrepancies that required debugging. That is now all done and we will double up this week. Thank you for reading, commenting, and sharing with others, JoJo and G.

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