G’s Expectation or More Winners, More Losers, More Madness

Welcome back, college sports fans, to a new day of close games, overtime thrillers, and the occasional upset. After yesterday’s games we have just 126 teams left out of the original 256. 130 games played, 130 winners, 130 teams heading home. We have 28 more today. Let’s jump in.

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In the tables below, the Conf and Seeds columns are in the same order as the Games column. For NIT games, the second team listed is the home team. In the Seeds column, “U” indicates an unseeded team – note the Women’s NIT do not seed any teams, while the Men’s NIT seeds 50% of the teams. If the two GCR predictive metrics, Score and RPIF, disagree in their predictions, we post NPre. In those situations, each metric is “right” about half the time, which supports the NPre designation. Considering Men’s and Women’s games, the GCR was 17-5 (.772) yesterday predicting the winners bringing the total to 329-141 (.700).

The GCR was fairly accurate for the Women’s games yesterday going 10-3 (.769) bringing the total to 148-62 (.705). We did not pick Virginia over Georgia, Oklahoma St over Princeton, or Illinois over Colorado. There are 14 games today and 14 predictions. Going into today’s games, there are 80 teams still alive, meaning 77 games left to play before crowning the three champions (NCAA, CBIT, and NIT). 14 more teams will fall today. Here is today’s slate.

Tour/
Round
TimeWomen’s Games (All Times Eastern)ConfSeedsPred
NCAA/R212:00Maryland (24-8/27) / North Carolina (27-7/18)B10/ACC5/4NCAR
NCAA/R21:00NC St (21-10/52) / Michigan (26-6/8)ACC/B107/2MICH
NCAA/R22:00Mississippi (24-11/30) / Minnesota (23-8/26)SEC/B105/4MINN
NIT/R22:00N Colorado (23-10/98) / South Dakota (23-9/90)BSKY/SUMU/USDAK
NIT/R22:00Rio Grande (21-13/116) / Illinois St (20-13/180)SLAN/MVCU/URG
NIT/R22:00NJ Tech (19-12/140) / Army (24-7/79)AME/PATU/UARMY
NCAA/R23:00Texas Tech (26-7/23) / LSU (28-5/10)B12/SEC7/2LSU
NCAA/R24:00Baylor (25-8/15) / Duke (25-8/11)B12/ACC6/3DUKE
NIT/R24:00San Francisco (19-14/139) / Montana St (25-7/32)WCC/BSKYU/UMTST
NIT/R25:00S Utah (19-12/135) / Pepperdine (20-12/121)WAC/WCCU/UPEPP
NCAA/R26:00Oregon (23-12/58) / Texas (32-3/2)B10/SEC8/1TEX
NIT/R26:00Lamar (20-10/142) / Portland (19-14/150)SLAN/WCCU/UPORT
NCAA/R28:00Michigan St (23-8/33) / Oklahoma (25-7/16)B10/SEC5/4OKLA
NCAA/R210:00Washington (22-10/44) / TCU (30-5/7)B10/B126/3TCU

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The GCR predictions for the Men was a respectable 7-2 (.778) bringing the total to 171-79 (.684). We missed Texas over Gongaza, (11th seed over 3rd seed), and Nebraska over Vanderbilt. With 14 games today (12 predictions), maybe we can continue the upward trend. Starting today, there are 46 teams left meaning there are 43 games left before crowning the champions (NCAA, NIT, CBC). 14 more will head home today. Here are today’s bouts.

Tour/
Round
TimeMen’s Games (All Times Eastern)ConfSeedsPred
NCAA/R212:10Miami FL (26-8/29) / Purdue (27-9/16)ACC/B107/2PUR
NCAA/R22:45Kentucky (22-13/38) / Iowa St (28-7/15)SEC/B127/2IAST
NIT/R24:30Illinois St (21-12/81) / Wake Forest (18-16/90)MVC/ACC4/1WF
NCAA/R25:15St Johns (29-6/11) / Kansas (24-10/20)BEast/B125/4NPre
NCAA/R26:10Tennessee (23-11/30) / Virginia (30-5/6)SEC/ACC6/3VIR
NIT/R26:30Seattle (21-13/111) / Auburn (18-16/78)WCC/SEC4/1AUB
NIT/R27:00UNLV (18-16/130) / Tulsa (27-7/50)MTW/AACU/1TULS
NCAA/R27:10Iowa (22-12/55) / Florida (27-7/9)B10/SEC9/1FLA
NCAA/R27:50Utah St (29-6/14) / Arizona (33-2/2)MTW/B129/1ARIZ
NIT/R28:00Geo Wash (19-15/138) / New Mexico (24-10/49)A10/MTWU/1NMEX
NIT/R28:30Wichita St (23-10/75) / Oklahoma St (20-14/66)AAC/B123/2OKST
NCAA/R28:45UCLA (24-11/37) / UCONN (30-5/4)B10/BEast7/2UCON
NIT/R29:00St Josephs (23-11/106) / California (22-11/62)A10/ACCU/2CAL
NCAA/R29:45Texas Tech (23-10/21) / Alabama (24-9/19)B12/SEC5/4NPre

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That’s it for today. Thank you for reading, and especially, sharing with others. You are helping us grow. Please let us know if you find these posts helpful and what we can do to make them better. Until tomorrow, JoJo and G.

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