Happy Wednesday oh great and wonderful college football fans! We have a game later tonight between new Sun Belt rivals when Louisiana, who is having an uncharacteristic campaign, at 2-3/127 travels to take on the Thundering Herd of Marshall (3-2/88). Marshall came over from Conference USA this year and was part of the Sun Belt East upsets in week 2. The game is on ESPN2 if you want to catch some of it at 7:30 (all times Eastern). Vegas has MARS -10.5 and the GCR calculates MARS 64.6%. Last week, I posted a point spread from the GCR and realized…it doesn’t matter. If someone is going to bet (I don’t bet on teenagers myself as I have learned in my 58 years they don’t often behave as expected, especially in large groups), they are betting on the Vegas line and, if any advice is given (not that I’m giving advice, mind you), it should be in terms of which team is going to cover. So, in the spirit of making it easy to decode what I publish, the GCR calculates MARS will cover.
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Last week, using the method described above, the GCR was 78-31/.716 straight up for all games, broken out as 41-16/.719 for FBS games and 37-15/.712 for FCS/FCS games. That brings the straight up mark to 167-70/.705 for FBS, 126-55/.696 for FCS/FCS, and 293-125/.701 overall. Finally, over the .700 hump. Upward and onward. The only games that I will predict the cover on are games involving FBS/FBS teams. When Alabama plays Wofford, I’m not publishing that one, nor when Wofford plays Furman, as examples. There were 57 qualifying games last week. If a bettor picked the favorite in every game, he or she would have been 29-28, a winning percentage of .509. Using the GCR model this past week, the same bettor would have been 31-26 or .554. Just 2 wins difference, but still. Keep in mind, the GCR may calculate a team to win, but not to cover. I’ll start tracking all of this because, well, I have a spreadsheet and a will to use it. From here on out, at least until I discover something better, I’ll give the Vegas line, the GCR percentage and the GCR cover prediction.
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This week we have as our FCS game of the week, two perennial powerhouses in the Missouri Valley Football Conference (MVFC) not to be confused with the Ohio Valley Football Conference (OVFC). North Dakota St (5-1/138) hosts South Dakota St (5-1/146) with both teams 3-0 in the conference (along with S Illinois). More than likely both of these teams will make the playoffs again but seeding (and thus home field advantage) are always on the line. As with all FCS games, I don’t have a Vegas line this early, but the GCR has the Bison of NDST 55.9% of the time. Look for a 1-score game in this one.
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In the FBS world, we have 3 matchups between unbeaten teams. At noon, we have a Big Ten East duster when Penn St (5-0/9) invades Michigan (6-0/3). Neither team has had much in the way of competition with the Nittany Lions opponents having a winning pct of just .400 (89th SOS) while the Wolverines are at .417 (87th). On offense, Penn St brings an OER (Offensive Efficiency Rating) of 118 (69th) meaning that they score 11.8 points for every 10 points their opponents normally give up. That seems low for an undefeated team in October that has a weak SOS. Makes one wonder if their offense is not quite that solid. They will be tested with Michigan’s DER (Defensive Efficiency Rating) of 176 (21st) meaning that they give up 10 points for every 17.6 their opponents normally score. This would indicate a difficulty for the Lions in putting points on the board (again, teenagers). When Michigan has the ball, they come with an OER of 153 (9th) and will face a defense similar to their own (Penn St DER of 175 for 22nd). So, similar defenses (in terms of efficiency) and one offense statistically better than the other. Other than Penn St is coming off a bye (and that whole teenager thing), Vegas has MICH -7.0 while the GCR has MICH 73.4%, and the cover is…MICH.
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The first of two 3:30 games is the cross-divisional rivalry between Alabama (6-0/2) and Tennessee (6-0/7) in Knoxville. This game boils down to Bryce Young and his health. Last week, Alabama looked vulnerable with anyone else at the QB position and a less-than-expected Texas A&M team was a bad offensive play call away from pulling the upset…in Tuscaloosa. The Volunteers are a much better team and Alabama will need to be solid at the QB (and, you know, like, defense and stuff) to win. The GCR does not take into account any injuries, coaching changes, etc., but rather looks at the totality of all games played to make its predictions, but Vegas is influenced by recency bias as well as personnel issues. That could pose a problem with the whole cover thing, so there’s the caveat. Tennessee has faced more challenges from a SOS viewpoint this year so far with an opponent’s record of .533 (good for 41st SOS) while the Elephant Tide is at just .472/74th. Advantage Tennessee. On offense the Tide bring an OER of 151 (12th) and will face a Vol DER of 159 (26th). Strength on strength. When Tennessee has control, they bring an OER of 165 (2nd) and face an equally daunting DER of 218/6. More Strength on strength. This one is the game of the week just based on the OER/DER. But someone has to win, and Vegas has ALA -7.0 (watch this if any announcement on Young is made), the GCR has ALA at 66.4%, which puts the cover for ALA (but barely). This game may be a last possession field goal kind of thing.
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The final game, also at 3:30, pits Oklahoma St (5-0/13) at TCU (5-0/10) who just came off a thrilling game that gave Kansas its first loss. These are the last remaining undefeated teams in the Big 12, meaning the winner is the only hope for the playoff (unless a lot of crazy stuff happens). The stakes could not be bigger. The Cowboys are coming off a bye week to boot. Let’s compare. Oklahoma St has had an easy ride so far with their opponents winning at a .379 (117th) clip. TCU, with help from Kansas, opponents are at .519 (63rd). When OK State has the ball, they bring an OER of 155 (6th) which is what one would expect from a good team and an easy schedule. They will face a TCU DER of 129 (57th) which could indicate a bunch of points (but then, it IS a Big 12 game, so). The Horned Frogs bring an OER of 148 (18th) against a Cowboy DER of 124 (67th) – again, more points. I don’t predict over/under, but 68.5 in this one seems low to me (again teenagers). I do, however, predict the winner, and the GCR has TCU at 58.8%, just barely covering the Vegas line of TCU -4.5.
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That’s it for this week’s Expectation. If you have suggestions, questions, or corrections, please comment in whatever media you are seeing this in. If you like what you see, please forward to others. Thanks, G. Here are all the games in the new format. Note: the opponent’s record is the winning pct of all teams already played by a given team, updated as each game is played. Note: N means neutral site.
| Time | Away | Conf/Rec | OPP Rec/ SOS Rank | Home | Conf/Rec | OPP Rec/ SOS Rank | Vegas | GCR | To Cover |
| WED | Louisiana (2-3/127) | Sun West (0-2) | 571/110 | Marshall (3-2/88) | Sun East (0-1) | 414/119 | MARS -10.5 | MARS 64.6% | MARS |
| THU | Baylor (3-2/52) | Big 12 (1-1) | 571/46 | West Virginia (2-3/71) | Big 12 (0-2) | 567/27 | BAY -3.5 | BAY 65.8% | BAY |
| THU | Temple (2-3/126) | American (0-1) | 467/106 | UCF (4-1/46) | American (1-0) | 393/126 | UCF -23.0 | UCF -85.6 | UCF |
| THU | Morgan St (2-3/229) | MEAC (0-1) | 391/214 | NC Central (4-1/154) | MEAC (0-0) | 563/220 | NL | NCC 60.6% | NL |
| FRI | Navy (2-3/123) | American (2-1) | 600/95 | SMU (2-3/96) | American (0-1) | 571/61 | SMU -12.5 | SMU 55.5% | NAVY |
| FRI | UTSA (4-2/78) | C-USA (2-0) | 457/116 | FIU (2-3/153) | C-USA (0-1) | 387/130 | UTSA -33.0 | UTSA 66.2% | FIU |
| FRI | Brown (2-2/210) | Ivy (0-1) | 381/244 | Princeton (4-0/131) | Ivy (1-0) | 429/246 | NL | PRIN 64.8% | NL |
| 12:00 | Colgate (1-4/248) | Patriot (0-1) | 583/203 | Army (1-4/93) | Indie (0-0) | 690/39 | NL | Army 55.5% | NL |
| 12:00 | Minnesota (4-1/23) | B1G West (1-1) | 250/131 | Illinois (5-1/15) | B1G West (2-1) | 528/77 | MINN -6.5 | ILL 63.2% | ILL |
| 12:00 | Miami OH (3-3/117) | MAC East (1-1) | 429/105 | Bowling Green (2-1/90) | MAC East (1-1) | 618/43 | MIAO -6.5 | MIAO 58.7% | MIAO |
| 12:00 | Penn St (5-0/9) | B1G East (2-0) | 400/89 | Michigan (6-0/3) | B1G East (3-0) | 417/87 | MICH -7.0 | MICH 73.4% | MICH |
| 12:00 | Old Dominion (2-3/130) | Sun East (1-0) | 467/115 | Coastal Carolina (6-0/22) | Sun East (3-0) | 371/127 | CCAR -12.5 | CCAR 99.9% | CCAR |
| 12:00 | Auburn (3-3/41) | SEC West (1-2) | 765/4 | Mississippi (6-0/6) | SEC West (2-0) | 500/67 | MISS -14.5 | MISS 99.9% | MISS |
| 12:00 | Kansas (5-1/21) | Big 12 (2-1) | 545/54 | Oklahoma (3-3/56) | Big 12 (0-3) | 611/17 | OKLA -9.0 | KAN 86.3% | KAN |
| 12:00 | Iowa St (3-3/49) | Big 12 (0-3) | 686/15 | Texas (4-2/30) | Big 12 (2-1) | 571/40 | TEX -16.5 | TEX 73.6% | TEX |
| 12:00 | C Michigan (1-5/101) | MAC West (0-2) | 656/45 | Akron (1-5/121) | MAC East (0-2) | 588/71 | CMI -13.0 | AKR 55.2% | AKR |
| 12:00 | Bucknell (0-5/247) | Patriot (0-2) | 414/245 | Yale (3-1/160) | Ivy (2-0) | 526/200 | NL | YALE 59.6% | NL |
| 12:00 | Dayton (3-2/192) | Pioneer (1-1) | 238/258 | Marist (2-3/237) | Pioneer (2-1) | 423/237 | NL | DAY 56.4% | NL |
| 12:30 | Miami FL (2-3/102) | ACC-C (0-1) | 500/79 | Virginia Tech (2-4/113) | ACC-C (1-2) | 441/75 | MIAF -7.0 | MIAF 57.4% | VT |
| 1:00 | Buffalo (3-3/70) | MAC East (3-0) | 694/36 | UMASS (1-5/116) | Indie (0-1) | 588/64 | BUFF -17.0 | BUFF 61.1% | MASS |
| 1:00 | C Arkansas (2-4/199) | ASUN (1-0) | 571/139 | Kennesaw St (2-3/201) | ASUN (1-1) | 552/147 | NL | KNST 55.6% | NL |
| 1:00 | Morehead St (2-3/218) | Pioneer (1-1) | 609/180 | Davidson (4-2/159) | Pioneer (2-1) | 591/175 | NL | DAV 58.5% | NL |
| 1:00 | Lehigh (1-5/249) | Patriot (1-1) | 625/204 | Cornell (2-2/213) | Ivy (0-2) | 444/251 | NL | CORN 56.5% | NL |
| 1:00 | Columbia (3-1/156) | Ivy (0-1) | 350/256 | Penn (4-0/128) | Ivy (1-0) | 238/257 | NL | PENN 60.9% | NL |
| 1:00 | Robert Morris (0-5/228) | Big South (0-1) | 500/189 | Campbell (3-2/176) | Big South (1-0) | 481/183 | NL | CAMP 57.8% | NL |
| 1:00 | Stonehill (3-0/139) | Northeast (1-0) | 167/261 | Sacred Heart (3-2/185) | Northeast (1-0) | 222/255 | NL | STON 60.7% | NL |
| 1:00 | Wagner (0-5/195) | Northeast (0-1) | 731/140 | Merrimack (4-2/166) | Northeast (2-0) | 500/190 | NL | MERR 58.7% | NL |
| 1:00 | St Francis (3-2/181) | Northeast (2-0) | 179/260 | Long Island (0-5/226) | Northeast (0-1) | 517/187 | NL | STFR 57.2% | NL |
| 1:00 | Monmouth (4-2/167) | Colonial (2-1) | 441/225 | Maine (1-4/246) | Colonial (1-1) | 407/206 | NL | MON 57.9% | NL |
| 1:00 | Elon (5-1/147) | Colonial (3-0) | 429/192 | Rhode Island (3-2/171) | Colonial (1-1) | 481/156 | NL | ELON 58.9% | NL |
| 1:00 | Edward Waters (NR) | NA | NR | NC A&T (2-3/202) | Big South (1-0) | 571/149 | NL | NP | NL |
| 1:30 | New Hampshire (4-2/170) | Colonial (4-0) | 394/226 | Dartmouth (1-3/252) | Ivy (0-2) | 722/227 | NL | NH 57.6% | NL |
| 1:30 | Citadel (1-4/227) | SoCon (1-2) | 621/170 | Wofford (0-6/215) | SoCon (0-3) | 676/160 | NL | CIT 55.2% | NL |
| 1:30 | Lynchburg (NR) | NA | NR | South Carolina St (1-4/205) | MEAC (0-0) | 556/141 | NL | NP | NL |
| 1:30 | VMI (1-4/222) | SoCon (0-2) | 481/151 | Chattanooga (4-1/149) | SoCon (2-0) | 393/157 | NL | CHAT 62.1% | NL |
| 2:00 | UCONN (3-4/92) | Indie (0-0) | 538/55 | Ball St (3-3/125) | MAC East (2-1) | 343/121 | BLST -9.5 | BLST 58.3% | CONN |
| 2:00 | California (3-2/62) | Pac 12 (1-1) | 536/58 | Colorado (0-5/55) | Pac 12 (0-2) | 786/3 | CAL -15.0 | CAL 67.9% | COL |
| 2:00 | Delaware St (3-2/182) | MEAC (0-0) | 529/197 | Norfolk St (1-5/217) | MEAC (1-0) | 633/153 | NL | DEST 56.8% | NL |
| 2:00 | Florida A&M (4-2/164) | SWAC (2-1) | 464/145 | Grambling St (1-5/256) | SWAC (0-4) | 441/224 | NL | FLAM 57.8% | NL |
| 2:00 | W Carolina (3-3/193) | SoCon (1-2) | 441/188 | Furman (4-2/157) | SoCon (2-1) | 536/138 | NL | FUR 57.7% | NL |
| 2:00 | Butler (3-2/180) | Pioneer (1-1) | 706/182 | Valparaiso (3-2/194) | Pioneer (2-0) | 350/248 | NL | BUT 55.1% | NL |
| 2:00 | Indiana St (1-4/219) | MVFC (0-2) | 607/154 | Youngstown St (2-3/212) | MVFC (0-2) | 586/169 | NL | YST 55.7% | NL |
| 2:00 | Drake (0-6/240) | Pioneer (0-3) | 577/230 | St Thomas (4-1/155) | Pioneer (2-0) | 529/209 | NL | STTH 62.1% | NL |
| 3:00 | Montana St (5-1/145) | Big Sky (3-0) | 281/201 | N Colorado (2-4/239) | Big Sky (1-2) | 412/199 | NL | MTST 61.2% | NL |
| 3:00 | Cal Poly (1-4/258) | Big Sky (0-2) | 423/239 | Idaho St (0-6/221) | Big Sky (0-3) | 600/168 | NL | IDST 55.0% | NL |
| 3:00 | Idaho (3-2/168) | Big Sky (2-0) | 367/165 | Montana (5-0/114) | Big Sky (2-0) | 222/254 | NL | MONT 66.6% | NL |
| 3:00 | Mississippi Valley (0-6/214) | SWAC (0-3) | 741/159 | Alabama St (3-3/178) | SWAC (1-2) | 607/134 | NL | ALST 56.5% | NL |
| 3:00 | South Dakota (1-4/198) | MVFC (0-2) | 750/137 | Illinois St (3-2/177) | MVFC (1-1) | 500/186 | NL | ILST 57.7% | NL |
| 3:00 | Lindenwood (3-2/183) | OVFC (0-2) | 565/202 | E Illinois (2-3/236) | OVFC (1-0) | 357/241 | NL | LIN 56.2% | NL |
| 3:00 | W Illinois (0-5/208) | MVFC (0-2) | 621/148 | S Illinois (4-2/162) | MVFC (3-0) | 571/171 | NL | SILL 59.2% | NL |
| 3:30 | Maryland (4-2/35) | B1G East (1-2) | 514/38 | Indiana (3-3/53) | B1G East (1-2) | 714/10 | MARY -12.0 | MARY 69.7% | MARY |
| 3:30 | Alabama (6-0/2) | SEC West (3-0) | 472/74 | Tennessee (5-0/7) | SEC East (2-0) | 533/41 | ALA -7.0 | ALA 66.4% | ALA |
| 3:30 | Gardner Webb (2-4/196) | Big South (1-0) | 679/136 | Liberty (5-1/36) | Indie (1-0) | 424/112 | NL | LIB 91.3% | NL |
| 3:30 | Vanderbilt (3-3/50) | SEC East (0-2) | 667/9 | Georgia (6-0/1) | SEC East (3-0) | 583/37 | UGA -38.0 | UGA 99.9% | UGA |
| 3:30 | Arkansas (3-3/43) | SEC West (1-3) | 694/7 | BYU (4-2/64) | Indie (0-1) | 514/81 | ARK -1.5 | BYU 64.9% | BYU |
| 3:30 | Oklahoma St (5-0/13) | Big 12 (2-0) | 379/117 | TCU (5-0/10) | Big 12 (2-0) | 519/63 | TCU -4.5 | TCU 58.8% | TCU |
| 3:30 | N Illinois (1-5/136) | MAC West (0-2) | 514/98 | E Michigan (4-2/86) | MAC West (1-1) | 382/129 | EMI -2.5 | EMI 70.8% | EMI |
| 3:30 | NC St (5-1/16) | ACC-A (1-1) | 528/30 | Syracuse (5-0/11) | ACC-A (2-0) | 400/111 | SYR -3.5 | SYR 93.7% | SYR |
| 3:30 | Kent St (2-4/104) | MAC East (1-1) | 543/57 | Toledo (4-2/77) | MAC West (2-0) | 343/122 | TOL -9.0 | TOL 71.1% | TOL |
| 3:30 | Texas St (3-3/111) | Sun West (1-1) | 531/100 | Troy (4-2/61) | Sun West (2-1) | 559/70 | TROY -16.0 | TROY 66.6% | TXST |
| 3:30 | Charlotte (1-5/140) | C-USA (0-2) | 541/102 | UAB (3-2/75) | C-USA (1-1) | 552/88 | UAB -24.0 | UAB 69.8% | CHAR |
| 3:30 | W Kentucky (3-3/107) | C-USA (1-1) | 514/109 | Middle Tennessee (3-3/108) | C-USA (0-2) | 516/99 | WKY -8.0 | WKY 56.0% | MTSU |
| 3:30 | Ohio (3-3/106) | MAC East (1-1) | 514/91 | W Michigan (2-4/122) | MAC West (1-1) | 600/80 | OHIO -1.5 | OHIO 58.6% | OHIO |
| 3:30 | Villanova (3-2/179) | Colonial (1-1) | 259/250 | Richmond (3-2/172) | Colonial (1-1) | 393/210 | NL | RICH 55.4% | NL |
| 3:30 | Hampton (3-2/187) | Colonial (0-2) | 364/233 | Albany (1-4/234) | Colonial (0-2) | 552/172 | NL | HAMP 56.4% | NL |
| 3:30 | South Dakota St (5-1/146) | MVFC (3-0) | 313/221 | North Dakota St (5-1/138) | MVFC (3-0) | 281/222 | NL | NDST 55.9% | NL |
| 4:00 | Wisconsin (3-3/60) | B1G West (1-2) | 571/24 | Michigan St (2-4/74) | B1G East (0-3) | 600/21 | WISC -7.5 | WISC 61.7% | WISC |
| 4:00 | James Madison (5-0/14) | Sun East (3-0) | 400/125 | Ga Southern (3-3/87) | Sun East (0-2) | 559/78 | JMU -12.0 | JMU 99.9% | JMU |
| 4:00 | Tulane (5-1/27) | American (2-0) | 500/94 | South Florida (1-5/119) | American (0-2) | 571/65 | TULN -12.0 | TULN 89.1% | TULN |
| 4:00 | LA Tech (2-3/89) | C-USA (1-0) | 600/49 | North Texas (3-3/108) | C-USA (2-0) | 472/108 | NTEX -6.5 | NTEX 58.6% | NTEX |
| 4:00 | Incarnate Word (5-1/141) | Southland (2-1) | 371/215 | Nicholls (1-5/231) | Southland (1-1) | 588/166 | NL | IW 62.1% | NL |
| 4:00 | Harvard (3-1/158) – N | Ivy (2-0) | 700/185 | Howard (1-4/259) – N | MEAC (0-0) | 476/236 | NL | HARV 58.8% | NL |
| 4:00 | Charleston Southern (0-5/207) | Big South (0-1) | 643/144 | Bryant (2-4/257) | Big South (0-1) | 375/235 | NL | BRY 55.2% | NL |
| 4:00 | Jackson St (5-0/109) – N | SWAC (4-0) | 310/243 | Bethune Cookman (1-4/261) – N | SWAC (1-1) | 259/252 | NL | JACK 67.6% | NL |
| 4:00 | E Tennessee St (3-3/203) | SoCon (1-3) | 385/238 | Mercer (5-1/133) | SoCon (3-0) | 324/219 | NL | MERC 63.3% | NL |
| 4:00 | Murray St (0-6/211) | OVFC (0-2) | 571/155 | Austin Peay (4-2/161) | ASUN (1-1) | 314/223 | NL | AP 59.5% | NL |
| 4:25 | S Utah (3-3/191) | WAC (1-1) | 516/163 | Abilene Christian (4-2/165) | ASUN (1-1) | 310/232 | NL | ABCH 57.5% | NL |
| 5:00 | Weber St (5-0/112) | Big Sky (2-0) | 238/253 | Portland St (2-3/184) | Big Sky (1-1) | 682/135 | NL | WEB 66.3% | NL |
| 5:00 | Utah Tech (1-4/244) | WAC (0-2) | 773/176 | N Iowa (2-4/235) | MFVC (2-2) | 531/191 | NL | NIA 55.4% | NL |
| 5:00 | Presbyterian (1-5/245) | Pioneer (0-3) | 571/194 | San Diego (2-3/255) | Pioneer (1-1) | 238/259 | NL | SDIE 55.5% | NL |
| 5:30 | Arizona (3-3/67) | Pac 12 (1-2) | 618/32 | Washington (4-2/48) | Pac 12 (1-2) | 441/72 | WASH -14.5 | WASH 71.1% | WASH |
| 6:00 | Rice (3-2/73) | C-USA (1-0) | 556/62 | FAU (2-4/129) | C-USA (1-1) | 514/101 | FAU -3.5 | RICE 62.7% | RICE |
| 6:00 | Sam Houston (2-2/200) | WAC (1-0) | 478/178 | E Kentucky (3-2/169) | ASUN (0-1) | 448/164 | NL | EKY 56.8% | NL |
| 6:00 | Stony Brook (0-5/233) | Colonial (0-4) | 571/198 | Fordham (5-1/150) | Patriot (2-0) | 294/228 | NL | FORD 62.5% | NL |
| 7:00 | LSU (4-2/29) | SEC West (2-1) | 647/19 | Florida (4-2/47) | SEC East (1-2) | 500/53 | FLA -2.5 | LSU 57.8% | LSU |
| 7:00 | ULM (2-4/84) | Sun West (1-2) | 600/35 | South Alabama (4-1/39) | Sun West (1-0) | 429/96 | SALA -17.0 | SALA 85.7% | SALA |
| 7:00 | Arkansas St (2-4/103) | Sun East (1-2) | 588/56 | Southern Miss (2-3/98) | Sun West (0-1) | 6211/60 | SMIS -4.0 | SMIS 57.2% | SMIS |
| 7:00 | Utah St (2-4/83) | MWC-M (1-1) | 722/33 | Colorado St (1-4/97) | MWC-M (1-0) | 690/42 | UTST -11.0 | UTST 55.9% | COST |
| 7:00 | Alcorn St (3-2/174) | SWAC (2-0) | 379/162 | Southern (3-2/175) | SWAC (2-1) | 458/177 | NL | SOUT 55.1% | NL |
| 7:00 | Tennessee St (1-4/251) | OVFC (0-0) | 476/195 | Tennessee Tech (1-4/190) | OVFC (0-2) | 759/133 | NL | TNTC 55.3% | NL |
| 7:00 | N Arizona (2-4/243) | Big Sky (1-2) | 452/213 | UC Davis (1-4/216) | Big Sky (0-2) | 741/146 | NL | NAZ 55.2% | NL |
| 7:00 | Sacramento St (5-0/115) | Big Sky (2-0) | 259/249 | E Washington (1-4/186) | Big Sky (0-2) | 714/132 | NL | SAC 66.7% | NL |
| 7:00 | Jacksonville St (5-1/144) – N | ASUN (1-0) | 343/218 | N Alabama (1-4/260) – N | ASUN (0-1) | 550/240 | NL | JAX 61.8% | NL |
| 7:00 | Northwestern St (2-4/254) | Southland (2-0) | 333/242 | Houston Christian (2-3/232) | Southland (1-1) | 310/229 | NL | HOCH 55.5% | NL |
| 7:00 | Tarleton (4-1/152) | WAC (1-0) | 409/152 | Steph F Austin (3-3/204) | WAC (1-1) | 615/207 | NL | TARL 58.8% | NL |
| 7:30 | Clemson (6-0/5) | ACC-A (4-0) | 600/28 | Florida St (4-2/32) | ACC-A (2-2) | 556/25 | CLEM -3.5 | CLEM 99.9% | CLEM |
| 7:30 | Nebraska (3-3/94) | B1G West (2-1) | 472/92 | Purdue (4-2/25) | B1G West (2-1) | 656/12 | PUR -14.0 | PUR 72.1% | PUR |
| 7:30 | Mississippi St (5-1/18) | SEC West (2-1) | 528/50 | Kentucky (4-2/31) | SEC East (1-2) | 571/22 | MSST -4.0 | MSST 77.5% | MSST |
| 7:30 | Memphis (4-2/69) | American (2-1) | 500/26 | East Carolina (3-3/95) | American (1-2) | 545/85 | ECAR -5.0 | MEM 62.5% | MEM |
| 7:30 | Stanford (1-4/59) | Pac 12 (0-4) | 690/5 | Notre Dame (3-2/26) | Indie (1-0) | 750/2 | ND -17.0 | ND 71.1% | STAN |
| 8:00 | Southern Cal (6-0/8) | Pac 12 (4-0) | 455/84 | Utah (4-2/28) | Pac 12 (2-1) | 611/18 | UTAH -3.5 | SCAL 91.8% | SCAL |
| 8:00 | New Mexico (2-4/124) | MWC-M (0-3) | 541/82 | New Mexico St (1-5/151) | Indie (0-0) | 429/118 | NMEX -6.5 | NMEX 57.2% | NMST |
| 8:00 | UNC (5-1/24) | ACC-C (2-0) | 471/104 | Duke (4-2/45) | ACC-C (1-1) | 441/76 | UNC -7.0 | UNC 69.9% | UNC |
| 8:00 | TAM Commerce (3-2/188) | Southland (1-0) | 400/247 | McNeese (1-4/220) | Southland (0-1) | 727/150 | NL | COMM 56.8% | NL |
| 9:00 | Washington St (4-2/34) | Pac 12 (1-2) | 636/20 | Oregon St (4-2/38) | Pac 12 (1-2) | 618/34 | ORST -3.5 | ORST 56.1% | ORST |
| 10:30 | Air Force (4-2/76) | MWC-M (1-2) | 343/128 | UNLV (4-2/79) | MWC-W (2-1) | 412/120 | AF -10.0 | AF -57.1% | UNLV |
| 10:45 | San Jose St (4-1/40) | MWC-W (2-0) | 500/107 | Fresno St (1-4/100) | MWC-W (0-1) | 600/47 | SJST -8.0 | SJST 81.8% | SJST |
| MID | Nevada (2-4/137) | MWC-W (0-2) | 486/113 | Hawaii (1-5/132) | MWC-W (0-1) | 472/93 | NEV -6.5 | NEV 56.3% | HAW |
| SUN | Alabama A&M (2-4/223) – N | SWAC (2-1) | 500/161 | Ark Pine Bluff (2-4/209) – N | SWAC (0-3) | 619/143 | NL | ALAM 55.1% | NL |
