Welcome back, college sports fans. Once the conference tourneys crowned their champions, we began our six-tournament postseason with 256 teams vying for six titles. That’s 250 games or, pessimistically, 250 teams that will end their seasons on a loss. After the 11 games played yesterday, we begin today with just 55 teams left. With just 49 games left, there have been 201 games played and 201 teams heading home after the final buzzer – season over. We have 11 more games today which will drop the pool of potential champions even shallower. Going 7-4 in predictions yesterday, the GCR has gone 363-161 (.693) since (pretty much) the beginning of the conference tourneys. During the conference tourneys we were 253-108 (.701) and so far in the Tournaments we are 110-57 (.659). There have been 34 games in which the two GCR predictive measures disagreed on the winner causing us to be unable to predict or “NPre”. To be frank, we love the two metrics but despise the NPre calls. Analysis of those 34 games show one metric being accurate 18 times while the other is accurate 16 times. On the one hand, this data shows that the “must have both agree to predict works” but on the other it means that about one game out of seven has no prediction. Sounds like an offseason task for a cool math/statistics father/daughter combo.
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In the tables below, the Women’s NIT does not publish seeds, so all games are listed as U/U (or unseeded) in the Seeds column. Both the Conf and Seeds columns are in the same order as the teams listed in the Games column. If only one conference is listed, it indicates that both teams are from the same conference. The Men are in day two of their NCAA Sweet 16s. The Women are in day one of their NCAA Sweet 16s as well as a few games in the NIT Sweet 16.
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The GCR predictions were 5-2 (.714) yesterday bringing the total to 181-74 (.710). We missed Kansas beating San Diego St and Wisconsin besting Harvard – both games were in the WBIT Quarterfinals or Elite 8. There are 31 teams still alive going into today, which means there are only 28 Women’s basketball games left this season. We have one NPre today with Duke and LSU in the NCAA Tournament. Duke is better than LSU in the RPIF while LSU has a better Score. Yes, we know we are not showing those numbers in these tables. That is on purpose for readability and lack of messiness. Here are today’s matchups.
| Tour/ Round | Time | March 27 Women’s Games (All Times Eastern) | Conf | Seeds | Pred |
| NIT/R3 | 2:00 | Fort Wayne (21-13/139) / Arkansas St (25-9/64) | HOR/SUN | U/U | ARST |
| NCAA/S16 | 2:30 | Notre Dame (24-10/31) / Vanderbilt (29-4/5) | ACC/SEC | 6/2 | VAN |
| NCAA/S16 | 5:00 | North Carolina (28-7/15) / UCONN (36-0/4) | ACC/BEast | 4/1 | UCON |
| NIT/R3 | 6:00 | Loyola Chicago (16-17/196) / Geo Wash (17-17/188) | A10 | U/U | GW |
| NIT/R3 | 6:30 | Marshall (24-9/59) / Youngstown St (25-9/69) | SUN/HOR | U/U | MARS |
| NCAA/S16 | 7:30 | Minnesota (24-8/22) / UCLA (33-1/1) | B10 | 4/1 | UCLA |
| NIT/R3 | 7:30 | Abilene Chr (24-10/81) / Illinois St (21-13/171) | WAC/MVC | U/U | ABCH |
| NCAA/S16 | 10:00 | Duke (26-8/9) / LSU (29-5/8) | ACC/SEC | 3/2 | NPre |
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The GCR was just 2-2 (.500) yesterday in what continues to be insane Madness on the Men’s side. Our total fell to 182-87 (.677). We missed 9-seed Iowa beating 4-seed and 3-seed Illinois besting 2-seed Houston. We came close to losing a third prediction with 2-seed Purdue tipping in a putback with 0.7 to take down 11-seed Texas. Starting with 24 teams today, there are only 21 more Men’s games this season. We do have one NPre game today between Michigan St and UConn. The Score metric favors UCONN while the RPIF favors Michigan St. Only the NCAA Tournament has games today and here is the Sweet 16 slate for today.
| Tour/ Round | Time | March 27 Men’s Games (All Times Eastern) | Conf | Seeds | Pred |
| NCAA/S16 | 7:10 | St Johns (29-7/15) / Duke (34-2/2) | BEast/ACC | 5/1 | DUKE |
| NCAA/S16 | 7:35 | Alabama (25-9/16) / Michigan (33-3/3) | SEC/B10 | 4/1 | MICH |
| NCAA/S16 | 9:45 | Michigan St (27-7/5) / UCONN (31-5/4) | B10/BEast | 3/2 | NPre |
| NCAA/S16 | 10:10 | Tennessee (24-11/25) / Iowa St (29-7/14) | SEC/B12 | 6/2 | IAST |
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That’s it for today. Tune in tomorrow for nine more games featuring the Men’s NCAA Elite 8 and the Women’s NCAA Sweet 16 and NIT Elite 8. Thank you for reading and sharing with others – you help us grow and we could not do it without your assistance. Please provide feedback and suggestions which help us improve what we do, JoJo and G.
